Curtis Jones

The model rates Curtis Jones's performance-implied value at EUR 33.9M-58.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 14.7M-34.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 16.6M-39.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.55x the positional average in the league (1930 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1930 (56% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.14

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.12

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1682

Opponent strength

1571

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€16.6M – €39.9M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-117 Elo); relative output down 37% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -39% (IQR -56% to +1%).

• ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.