Angelo Stiller
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Angelo Stiller's performance-implied value at EUR 15.1M-41.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 32.2M-55.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 25.2M-58.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.49x the positional average in the league (2746 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 32
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 89.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €43.1M vs market €45.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2746 (90% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.26
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 89 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1567
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €25.2M – €58.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -12% (IQR -34% to +9%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | DM | 34 | 2746 | 90% | 2 | 6 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 1492 | 1567 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | DM | 32 | 2743 | 90% | 1 | 8 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 1497 | 1531 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | DM | 31 | 2697 | 88% | 1 | 5 | 0.20 | 0.15 | 1508 | 1637 | 1.01 |
| 2023/24 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | DM | 1 | 84 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1561 | 1471 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | DM | 20 | 698 | 23% | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 1546 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | DM | 26 | 1691 | 55% | 2 | 2 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 1542 | 1479 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 11 | 854 | 0 | 3 | 1460 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 472 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Germany | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 695 | 1 | 0 | 1628 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 454 | 2 | 3 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1761 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 255 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Bayern Munich | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Bayern Munich | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1674 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Henderson Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €28.0M | €28.0M | flat |
| Fabinho Ligue 1 · 2018 | 25 | €45.0M | €56.0M | rose |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić Serie A · 2021 | 26 | €70.0M | €50.0M | fell |
| Bruno Fernandes Liga Portugal · 2020 | 26 | €48.0M | €85.0M | rose |
| Youssouf Fofana Ligue 1 · 2024 | 25 | €30.0M | €23.0M | fell |
| Juan Cuadrado Serie A · 2014 | 26 | €24.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Florian Neuhaus Bundesliga · 2021 | 24 | €35.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin Bundesliga · 2019 | 24 | €28.0M | €15.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2023 | Hoffenheim | Stuttgart | €5.5M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2021 | FC Bayern II | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jan 2020 | FC Bayern U19 | FC Bayern II | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Bayern U17 | FC Bayern U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | B. München Yth. | FC Bayern U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2010 | Milbertsh. Yth. | B. München Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.