Torbjørn Heggem
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Torbjørn Heggem's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-8.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.3M-17.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.0M-14.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 4
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 65.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €13.0M vs market €13.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -43% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2113 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 65 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1523
- Opponent strength
- 1512
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.0M – €14.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -36% (IQR -61% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bologna Football Club 1909 | Serie A | CB | 27 | 2113 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1512 | 1523 | 0.93 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 8 | 488 | 0 | 0 | 1476 |
| 2025/26 | Supercoppa Italiana | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1712 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Norway | 2 | 174 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Bologna Football Club 1909 | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Lombaerts Premier Liga · 2013 | 28 | €10.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Yeray Álvarez Laliga · 2022 | 27 | €13.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Guillermo Maripán Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Gary Medel Serie A · 2017 | 30 | €12.0M | €3.8M | fell |
| Igor Julio Serie A · 2023 | 25 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Luiz Felipe Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €15.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Florian Grillitsch Bundesliga · 2022 | 27 | €16.0M | €6.5M | fell |
| Federico Fernández Premier League · 2015 | 26 | €9.0M | €9.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | West Brom | Bologna | €7.5M | €1.2M |
| 4 Jul 2024 | Brommapojkarna | West Brom | €600k | €500k |
| 1 Feb 2023 | Sandnes Ulf | Brommapojkarna | Free / loan | €250k |
| 26 Jan 2021 | Rosenborg II | Sandnes Ulf | Unknown | €200k |
| 31 Dec 2020 | Ranheim | Rosenborg II | Free / loan | €200k |
| 31 Jan 2019 | Rosenborg II | Ranheim | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2016 | RBK Youth | Rosenborg II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.