Anass Salah-Eddine

24 yrs · Left-back (also CM, LM) · Morocco
PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie · Foot: left · Height: 181 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€12.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€8.4M – €16.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.9M – €4.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.1M – €18.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€15.0M – -€4.2M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€8.4M – €16.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €4.2M
Projected value (24 months)€6.1M – €18.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anass Salah-Eddine's performance-implied value at EUR 1.9M-4.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.4M-16.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.1M-18.5M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 15

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average57.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €12.2M vs market €12.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €12.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1092 (36% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
57 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1606
Opponent strength
1315
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.1M – €18.5M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+170 Elo); league level down (-53 Elo); relative output down 68% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -35% (IQR -55% to +9%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1092 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PSV EindhovenEredivisieLB17109236%010.080.05131516060.43
2024/25FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieLB18128642%220.280.15129114090.50
2024/25Associazione Sportiva RomaSerie ALM31534%010.590.15131316680.99
2023/24Ajax AmsterdamEredivisieLB61916%010.470.11128814390.48
2023/24FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieLB61204%010.750.13131414660.48
2022/23FC Twente EnschedeEredivisieCM1463721%000.000.09134815050.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven7511001648
2025/26Africa Cup Of NationsMorocco422401—
2025/26World CupMorocco29300—
2025/26Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven12700—
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFC Twente Enschede8710021510
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFC Twente Enschede2180001623
2024/25Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede15800—
2023/24Uefa Europa League QualifyingAjax Amsterdam221001423
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueAjax Amsterdam11001541
2022/23Knvb BekerFC Twente Enschede217600—
2022/23Uefa Conference League QualifyingFC Twente Enschede19011332

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Thomas Beelen
Eredivisie · 2024
23€12.0M€5.0Mfell
David Carmo
Liga Portugal · 2024
25€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Dimitrios Siovas
Super League 1 · 2014
26€3.5M€3.0Mflat
Nino
Premier Liga · 2024
27€10.0M€10.0Mflat
Marlon
Premier Liga · 2022
27€10.0M€5.0Mfell
Noussair Mazraoui
Eredivisie · 2021
24€17.0M€28.0Mrose
Jozo Simunovic
Scottish Premiership · 2019
25€3.3M€1.5Mfell
Alistair Johnston
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€7.0M€10.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2026PSVRomaFree / loan€12.0M
31 Aug 2025RomaPSVFree / loan€8.0M
3 Feb 2025FC TwenteRoma€8.5M€5.0M
1 Feb 2024AjaxFC Twente€750k€900k
1 Jul 2023Ajax U21AjaxUnknown€800k
30 Jun 2023FC TwenteAjax U21Free / loan€800k
1 Aug 2022Ajax U21FC TwenteFree / loan€300k
1 Jul 2020Ajax U19Ajax U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jan 2019Ajax U17Ajax U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018AZ Alkmaar Yth.Ajax U17€42kData unavailable
1 Jul 2015AFC YouthAZ Alkmaar Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Pancratius Yth.AFC YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Anass Salah-Eddine · MoneyballAI