Senne Lammens
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Senne Lammens's performance-implied value at EUR 18.2M-60.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.4M-51.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 25.0M-50.3M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 22
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 94.1th pct among GK peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 24 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €40.5M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 284 evaluated GK players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3240 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.00
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 94 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1676
- Opponent strength
- 1588
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €25.0M – €50.3M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+234 Elo); league level up (+214 Elo).
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -41% to -1%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Manchester United | Premier League | GK | 32 | 2880 | 84% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1588 | 1715 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 4 | 360 | 13% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1419 | 1365 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Royal Antwerp FC | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 30 | 2687 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1364 | 1442 | 0.63 |
| 2021/22 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | GK | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1285 | 1512 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | Royal Antwerp FC | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1714 |
| 2021/22 | Volkswagen Supercup | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1414 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ramsdale Premier League · 2022 | 24 | €28.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga Premier League · 2020 | 26 | €32.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Jordan Pickford Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €40.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| David de Gea Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €30.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Thibaut Courtois Premier League · 2018 | 26 | €60.0M | €48.0M | fell |
| Sergio Rico Laliga · 2017 | 24 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Joe Hart Premier League · 2013 | 26 | €24.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Gregor Kobel Bundesliga · 2022 | 25 | €22.0M | €40.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Royal Antwerp | Man Utd | €21.0M | €9.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Club Brugge | Royal Antwerp | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Club NXT | Club Brugge | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | FC Brügge U17 | FC Brügge U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Club Brugge Yth | FC Brügge U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | Dender Yth. | Club Brugge Yth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.