Anthony Musaba

25 yrs · Left winger (also RW) · Netherlands
Fenerbahce · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 182 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€4.0M – €10.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€626k – €3.7M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.2M – €9.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€9.8M – -€265k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.0M – €10.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€626k – €3.7M
Projected value (24 months)€3.2M – €9.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Anthony Musaba's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.0M-10.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-9.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2024 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 41

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage38.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral25.6 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.6M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationLow-25% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €7.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2024 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.49
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.44
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
39 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1380
Opponent strength
1281
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.2M – €9.7M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -29% to -7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
53 (ATT)
Relative output kept
79%–133%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
58%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SamsunsporSuper LigLW15117538%420.460.44128113100.40
2025/26FenerbahceSuper LigRW1784928%140.530.29126314770.40
2022/23NEC NijmegenEredivisieRW1631810%100.280.39133012660.58
2021/22SC HeerenveenEredivisieRW29131443%110.140.31136512870.60
2020/21Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro LeagueRW29206367%630.390.49136612280.55

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingSamsunspor190001401
2022/23Knvb BekerNEC Nijmegen26210—
2021/22Knvb BekerSC Heerenveen317300—
2021/22Uefa Champions League QualifyingAS Monaco12001517

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Stefanos Athanasiadis
Super League 1 · 2015
27€4.5M€2.0Mfell
Levi García
Super League 1 · 2022
25€4.0M€13.0Mrose
Marko Livaja
Super League 1 · 2019
26€4.0M€3.5Mflat
Aleksandr Sobolev
Premier Liga · 2022
25€8.0M€7.5Mflat
Chidera Ejuke
Premier Liga · 2022
24€7.5M€6.0Mfell
Sory Kaba
Superliga · 2021
26€3.0M€2.8Mflat
Nikolaos Karelis
Super League 1 · 2016
24€4.0M€3.0Mfell
Viktor Fischer
Superliga · 2021
27€2.5M€1.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
2 Jan 2026SamsunsporFenerbahçe€5.0M€4.0M
12 Jul 2025Sheff WedSamsunspor€1.0M€1.5M
3 Aug 2023MonacoSheff WedFree / loan€800k
30 Jun 2023NEC NijmegenMonacoFree / loan€800k
4 Jan 2023MonacoNEC NijmegenFree / loan€900k
3 Jan 2023FC MetzMonacoFree / loan€900k
29 Aug 2022MonacoFC MetzFree / loan€1.2M
30 Jun 2022HeerenveenMonacoFree / loan€1.2M
31 Aug 2021MonacoHeerenveenFree / loan€2.2M
30 Jun 2021Cercle BruggeMonacoFree / loan€2.2M
24 Aug 2020MonacoCercle BruggeFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2020NEC NijmegenMonaco€2.5M€2.5M
1 Jul 2019NEC U19NEC NijmegenUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Vitesse U19NEC U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Vitesse U17Vitesse U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Vitesse YouthVitesse U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014NEC YouthVitesse YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009Ewijk YouthNEC YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.