
Anthony Musaba
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anthony Musaba's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-3.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.0M-10.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.2M-9.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (2024 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 38.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €5.6M vs market €7.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -25% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2024 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.49
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1380
- Opponent strength
- 1281
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €3.2M – €9.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -29% to -7%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 79%–133%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 58%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Samsunspor | Super Lig | LW | 15 | 1175 | 38% | 4 | 2 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 1281 | 1310 | 0.40 |
| 2025/26 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | RW | 17 | 849 | 28% | 1 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 1263 | 1477 | 0.40 |
| 2022/23 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | RW | 16 | 318 | 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 1330 | 1266 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | SC Heerenveen | Eredivisie | RW | 29 | 1314 | 43% | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 1365 | 1287 | 0.60 |
| 2020/21 | Cercle Brugge | Jupiler Pro League | RW | 29 | 2063 | 67% | 6 | 3 | 0.39 | 0.49 | 1366 | 1228 | 0.55 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Samsunspor | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1401 |
| 2022/23 | Knvb Beker | NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 62 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Knvb Beker | SC Heerenveen | 3 | 173 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | AS Monaco | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1517 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Athanasiadis Super League 1 · 2015 | 27 | €4.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Levi García Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €4.0M | €13.0M | rose |
| Marko Livaja Super League 1 · 2019 | 26 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Aleksandr Sobolev Premier Liga · 2022 | 25 | €8.0M | €7.5M | flat |
| Chidera Ejuke Premier Liga · 2022 | 24 | €7.5M | €6.0M | fell |
| Sory Kaba Superliga · 2021 | 26 | €3.0M | €2.8M | flat |
| Nikolaos Karelis Super League 1 · 2016 | 24 | €4.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Viktor Fischer Superliga · 2021 | 27 | €2.5M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Samsunspor | Fenerbahçe | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| 12 Jul 2025 | Sheff Wed | Samsunspor | €1.0M | €1.5M |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Monaco | Sheff Wed | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | Monaco | Free / loan | €800k |
| 4 Jan 2023 | Monaco | NEC Nijmegen | Free / loan | €900k |
| 3 Jan 2023 | FC Metz | Monaco | Free / loan | €900k |
| 29 Aug 2022 | Monaco | FC Metz | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Heerenveen | Monaco | Free / loan | €1.2M |
| 31 Aug 2021 | Monaco | Heerenveen | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Cercle Brugge | Monaco | Free / loan | €2.2M |
| 24 Aug 2020 | Monaco | Cercle Brugge | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | NEC Nijmegen | Monaco | €2.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | NEC U19 | NEC Nijmegen | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Vitesse U19 | NEC U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Vitesse U17 | Vitesse U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vitesse Youth | Vitesse U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2014 | NEC Youth | Vitesse Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2009 | Ewijk Youth | NEC Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.