Tyrick Mitchell

27 yrs · Left-back (also LM) · England
Crystal Palace · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 181 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€25.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€10.4M – €22.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€25.3M – €43.8M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€15.7M – €26.2M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€2.6M – €33.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€10.4M – €22.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€25.3M – €43.8M
Projected value (24 months)€15.7M – €26.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Tyrick Mitchell's performance-implied value at EUR 25.3M-43.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.4M-22.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.7M-26.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.51x the positional average in the league (3255 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 87

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite95.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.8 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €13.9M vs market €25.0M
Expected appreciationLow-16% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €28.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
3255 (95% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.08
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
96 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1589
Opponent strength
1594
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€15.7M – €26.2M

Trajectory drivers: relative output down 36% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -35% to -13%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLM38325595%120.080.11159415891.30
2024/25Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLM37310391%050.150.18157016201.23
2023/24Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLB37321094%230.140.17157715621.14
2022/23Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLB36289685%020.060.11157815361.23
2021/22Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLB36310391%020.060.10157915371.17
2020/21Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLB19171050%110.110.13157414561.19
2019/20Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLB41936%000.000.15166514711.14

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Community ShieldCrystal Palace179001800
2025/26Fa CupCrystal Palace14500—
2025/26Uefa Conference League QualifyingCrystal Palace112001250
2024/25Fa CupCrystal Palace430901—
2023/24Fa CupCrystal Palace215400—
2021/22Fa CupCrystal Palace434100—
2020/21Fa CupCrystal Palace12000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jonny Otto
Premier League · 2019
25€20.0M€15.0Mfell
Nemanja Maksimovic
Laliga · 2020
25€20.0M€14.0Mfell
Mauro Arambarri
Laliga · 2020
25€20.0M€15.0Mfell
N'Golo Kanté
Premier League · 2018
27€60.0M€80.0Mrose
John McGinn
Premier League · 2023
29€27.0M€16.0Mfell
Djibril Sow
Bundesliga · 2023
26€22.0M€7.5Mfell
Idrissa Gueye
Premier League · 2017
28€18.0M€25.0Mrose
Oriol Romeu
Premier League · 2018
27€12.0M€8.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2020Palace U23Crystal PalaceUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Palace U18Palace U23UnknownData unavailable
22 Jul 2016Brentford Yth.Palace U18Free / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.