
Tyrick Mitchell
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Tyrick Mitchell's performance-implied value at EUR 25.3M-43.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.4M-22.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.7M-26.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.51x the positional average in the league (3255 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 87
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 95.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €13.9M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 3255 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.08
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 96 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1594
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €15.7M – €26.2M
Trajectory drivers: relative output down 36% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -28% (IQR -35% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LM | 38 | 3255 | 95% | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 1594 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LM | 37 | 3103 | 91% | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 1570 | 1620 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LB | 37 | 3210 | 94% | 2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 1577 | 1562 | 1.14 |
| 2022/23 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LB | 36 | 2896 | 85% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 1578 | 1536 | 1.23 |
| 2021/22 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LB | 36 | 3103 | 91% | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1579 | 1537 | 1.17 |
| 2020/21 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LB | 19 | 1710 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1574 | 1456 | 1.19 |
| 2019/20 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LB | 4 | 193 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1665 | 1471 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Community Shield | Crystal Palace | 1 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1800 |
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Crystal Palace | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1250 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 4 | 309 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 2 | 154 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 4 | 341 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonny Otto Premier League · 2019 | 25 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Nemanja Maksimovic Laliga · 2020 | 25 | €20.0M | €14.0M | fell |
| Mauro Arambarri Laliga · 2020 | 25 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| N'Golo Kanté Premier League · 2018 | 27 | €60.0M | €80.0M | rose |
| John McGinn Premier League · 2023 | 29 | €27.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Djibril Sow Bundesliga · 2023 | 26 | €22.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Idrissa Gueye Premier League · 2017 | 28 | €18.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Oriol Romeu Premier League · 2018 | 27 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2020 | Palace U23 | Crystal Palace | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Palace U18 | Palace U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 22 Jul 2016 | Brentford Yth. | Palace U18 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.