Fisnik Asllani
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Fisnik Asllani's performance-implied value at EUR 4.8M-27.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 27.6M-49.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 19.4M-59.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.29x the positional average in the league (2358 minutes, league coefficient 0.94). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 31
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 77.8th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €38.7M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -5% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2358 (77% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.72
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.69
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 78 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1508
- Opponent strength
- 1489
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €19.4M – €59.2M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -23% to +40%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | SS | 33 | 2358 | 77% | 10 | 9 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 1489 | 1508 | 0.94 |
| 2022/23 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 8 | 160 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 1532 | 1444 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | ST | 2 | 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 1517 | 1479 | 1.05 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 164 | 1 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Icardi Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €50.0M | €80.0M | rose |
| Maximilian Beier Bundesliga · 2024 | 22 | €30.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Gonçalo Guedes Laliga · 2022 | 26 | €40.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Mason Greenwood Laliga · 2024 | 23 | €25.0M | €55.0M | rose |
| Andrea Belotti Serie A · 2017 | 24 | €30.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Erik Lamela Serie A · 2013 | 21 | €23.0M | €22.0M | flat |
| Martin Terrier Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €25.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Sébastien Haller Bundesliga · 2019 | 25 | €40.0M | €27.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | SV Elversberg | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €8.0M |
| 23 Jul 2024 | Hoffenheim | SV Elversberg | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Austria Vienna | Hoffenheim | Free / loan | €800k |
| 31 Aug 2023 | Hoffenheim | Austria Vienna | Free / loan | €800k |
| 4 Jan 2022 | Hoffenheim II | Hoffenheim | Unknown | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2020 | U. Berlin U19 | Hoffenheim II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | U. Berlin U17 | U. Berlin U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | U. Berlin Yth. | U. Berlin U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | BFC Dynamo Yth. | U. Berlin Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.