Irakli Azarovi
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Irakli Azarovi's performance-implied value at EUR 1.1M-3.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-3.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 46
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 41th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €2.0M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -23% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 990 (37% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.18
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.10
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 41 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1420
- Opponent strength
- 1127
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.0M – €3.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -9% (IQR -25% to +14%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 990 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 14 | 990 | 37% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 1127 | 1420 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 12 | 908 | 34% | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 1119 | 1414 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier Liga | LB | 22 | 1581 | 59% | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1232 | 1497 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1292 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1318 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 162 | 0 | 1 | 1555 |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 315 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Champions League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 295 | 0 | 1 | 1594 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | FC Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 174 | 0 | 0 | 1544 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgi Gocholeishvili Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Dujon Sterling Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Pipa Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €2.2M | €2.2M | flat |
| Oleksandr Syrota Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Kostyantyn Vivcharenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €1.5M | €2.5M | rose |
| Lefteris Lyratzis Super League 1 · 2023 | 23 | €2.0M | €850k | fell |
| Anthony Ralston Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €1.8M | €1.5M | flat |
| Oleksandr Tymchyk Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €3.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2023 | Red Star | Shakhtar D. | €3.0M | €1.5M |
| 5 Aug 2022 | Dinamo Batumi | Red Star | €300k | €1.2M |
| 1 Jan 2021 | Dinamo Tbilisi | Dinamo Batumi | €140k | €200k |
| 1 Mar 2019 | Dinamo Academy | Dinamo Tbilisi | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.