Bryan Okoh
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Bryan Okoh's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-5.3M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.8M-7.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.2M-11.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 63
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.5th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €4.6M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +29% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1006 (33% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1402
- Opponent strength
- 1445
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.2M – €11.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +48% (IQR -12% to +138%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1006 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | AJ Auxerre | Ligue 1 | CB | 13 | 1006 | 33% | 3 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 1445 | 1402 | 0.88 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Football Club Lausanne-Sport | 6 | 540 | 1 | 2 | 1339 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mert Müldür Serie A · 2020 | 21 | €4.5M | €7.0M | rose |
| Ardian Ismajli Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €2.5M | €3.5M | rose |
| Clément Michelin Ligue 1 · 2021 | 24 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Federico Barba Serie A · 2015 | 22 | €2.0M | €1.2M | fell |
| Alessandro Buongiorno Serie A · 2022 | 23 | €4.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Moussa Diarra Ligue 1 · 2024 | 24 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Simone Bastoni Serie A · 2021 | 25 | €3.0M | €6.5M | rose |
| Cédric Soares Liga Portugal · 2013 | 22 | €3.0M | €9.5M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | Lausanne-Sport | AJ Auxerre | €2.5M | €1.2M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Salzburg | Lausanne-Sport | Unknown | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Salzburg | FC Liefering | Free / loan | €800k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | FC Liefering | Salzburg | Free / loan | €1.0M |
| 2 Jul 2019 | Salzburg | FC Liefering | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Team Vaud U18 | Salzburg | €2.0M | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.