Mohammed Kudus

The model rates Mohammed Kudus's performance-implied value at EUR 26.1M-38.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 31.2M-63.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 21.8M-52.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.15x the positional average in the league (1546 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1546 (45% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.47

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.45

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

90 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

1.30 (rank 1)

Team strength (Elo)

1564

Opponent strength

1597

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€21.8M – €52.4M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 31 pts; changed club; role change LW -> RW; relative output up 40% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -27% (IQR -47% to -19%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1546 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.