Kiliann Sildillia

24 yrs · Right-back · France
PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 186 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€7.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.5M – €7.4M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€3.7M – €7.1M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.3M – €10.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€3.7M – €3.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €7.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €7.1M
Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €10.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Kiliann Sildillia's performance-implied value at EUR 3.7M-7.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-7.4M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.3M-10.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 54

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average62.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.1 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €5.4M vs market €7.0M
Expected appreciationLow-20% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €18.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1264 (41% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.36
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.13
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
63 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1606
Opponent strength
1286
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.3M – €10.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 15 pts; changed club; team strength up (+101 Elo); league level down (-205 Elo); relative output down 28% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -33% (IQR -44% to +29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1264 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PSV EindhovenEredivisieRB21126441%230.360.13128616060.43
2024/25SC FreiburgBundesligaRB2179126%200.230.17145115050.94
2023/24SC FreiburgBundesligaRB27180459%010.050.08153814811.01
2022/23SC FreiburgBundesligaRB27197865%020.090.11154515611.04
2021/22SC FreiburgBundesligaRB71665%000.000.13164115431.05

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven422002—
2025/26Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven190001661
2024/25Dfb PokalSC Freiburg17500—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSC Freiburg9601101530
2023/24Dfb PokalSC Freiburg217800—
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueSC Freiburg7542001511
2022/23Dfb PokalSC Freiburg423500—
2021/22Dfb PokalSC Freiburg21200—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Derrick Köhn
Super Lig · 2024
25€6.0M€4.0Mfell
Yukhym Konoplya
Premier Liga · 2023
24€4.0M€5.0Mrose
Viktor Korniyenko
Premier Liga · 2022
23€3.0M€1.0Mfell
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Super Lig · 2024
26€8.5M€4.0Mfell
Alistair Johnston
Scottish Premiership · 2023
25€7.0M€10.0Mrose
Danil Krugovoy
Premier Liga · 2022
24€3.0M€1.8Mfell
Oleksandr Tymchyk
Premier Liga · 2022
25€2.5M€4.0Mrose
Armando Obispo
Eredivisie · 2023
24€4.5M€3.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jul 2025FreiburgPSV€5.8M€10.0M
1 Jul 2021SC Freiburg IIFreiburgUnknown€450k
1 Jul 2020FC Metz BSC Freiburg IIFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Metz U17FC Metz BUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Metz YouthMetz U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010APM Metz JugendMetz YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.