Edmond Tapsoba
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Edmond Tapsoba's performance-implied value at EUR 19.2M-38.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 23.7M-41.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.1M-31.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 17
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 97.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €31.8M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -33% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2576 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.28
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 97 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1481
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €15.1M – €31.8M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 994% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -23% (IQR -40% to +8%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 29 | 2576 | 84% | 5 | 3 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 1481 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 29 | 2511 | 82% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1495 | 1681 | 0.94 |
| 2023/24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 28 | 2085 | 68% | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1528 | 1787 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 33 | 2873 | 94% | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 1514 | 1601 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 22 | 1813 | 59% | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 1515 | 1639 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 31 | 2650 | 87% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 1531 | 1563 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Vitória Guimarães SC | Liga Portugal | CB | 16 | 1351 | 44% | 4 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 1362 | 1418 | 0.59 |
| 2019/20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 14 | 1057 | 35% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1568 | 1654 | 1.06 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 10 | 811 | 0 | 0 | 1675 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 480 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Burkina Faso | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 670 | 0 | 1 | 1661 |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 316 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1637 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 12 | 981 | 2 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2023/24 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 422 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 719 | 1 | 1 | 1558 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 351 | 0 | 0 | 1639 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 406 | 0 | 0 | 1596 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 315 | 0 | 0 | 1502 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 300 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Vitória Guimarães SC | 6 | 540 | 3 | 0 | 1324 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Vitória Guimarães SC | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 | 1612 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 428 | 0 | 0 | 1630 |
| 2019/20 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3 | 225 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Mancini Serie A · 2024 | 28 | €25.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Bremer Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €40.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Theo Hernández Serie A · 2024 | 27 | €60.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo Serie A · 2021 | 28 | €24.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Stefan de Vrij Serie A · 2020 | 28 | €48.0M | €28.0M | fell |
| Pau Torres Laliga · 2022 | 25 | €50.0M | €45.0M | flat |
| Ezequiel Garay Premier Liga · 2015 | 29 | €23.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Jonathan Tah Bundesliga · 2022 | 26 | €25.0M | €30.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2020 | Vit. Guimarães | Leverkusen | €20.2M | €4.5M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Guimarães B | Vit. Guimarães | Unknown | €350k |
| 31 Jan 2018 | Leixões U19 | Guimarães B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Salitas | Leixões U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.