Yéremy Pino

23 yrs · Right winger (also LW) · Spain
Villarreal CF · Laliga · Foot: right · Height: 174 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€22.6M – €41.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€26.9M – €51.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€18.7M – €35.8M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€14.7M – €29.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€22.6M – €41.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€26.9M – €51.6M
Projected value (24 months)€18.7M – €35.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Yéremy Pino's performance-implied value at EUR 26.9M-51.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.6M-41.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.7M-35.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (2252 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 14

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite93.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.7 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €32.1M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationLow-24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €40.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2252 (66% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.20
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.24
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
94 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1586
Opponent strength
1591
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€18.7M – €35.8M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+116 Elo); role change RW -> LW; relative output down 48% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -47% to +37%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Crystal PalacePremier LeagueLW34209261%220.170.24159115891.30
2025/26Villarreal CFLaligaLW21605%010.560.26133315440.95
2024/25Villarreal CFLaligaRW34195057%480.550.49151315970.95
2023/24Villarreal CFLaligaRW748014%000.000.27143315771.00
2022/23Villarreal CFLaligaLW36246472%460.370.37152315810.98
2021/22Villarreal CFLaligaRW31168549%640.530.44152016611.05
2020/21Villarreal CFLaligaRW2478523%310.460.38156316761.10

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Fa CupCrystal Palace19010—
2025/26World CupSpain26900—
2024/25Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF16402—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueVillarreal CF3141001510
2022/23Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF215500—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueVillarreal CF7431101651
2021/22Uefa Super CupVillarreal CF190001754
2021/22Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF11400—
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueVillarreal CF9346101542
2020/21Copa Del ReyVillarreal CF427630—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Demarai Gray
Premier League · 2019
23€20.0M€8.0Mfell
Simon Adingra
Premier League · 2024
22€30.0M€22.0Mfell
Kai Havertz
Premier League · 2023
24€55.0M€65.0Mflat
Diogo Jota
Premier League · 2020
24€28.0M€60.0Mrose
Jadon Sancho
Premier League · 2022
22€75.0M€30.0Mfell
Bernard
Premier League · 2019
27€20.0M€12.0Mfell
Alexander Isak
Laliga · 2022
23€30.0M€75.0Mrose
Antony
Premier League · 2023
23€60.0M€35.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
29 Aug 2025VillarrealCrystal Palace€30.0M€30.0M
1 Aug 2020FC Villarreal CVillarrealUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Roda U19FC Villarreal CUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018CD Roda YouthRoda U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Las Palmas Yth.CD Roda YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.