
Yéremy Pino
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Yéremy Pino's performance-implied value at EUR 26.9M-51.6M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.6M-41.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 18.7M-35.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.58x the positional average in the league (2252 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 14
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 93.5th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €32.1M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2252 (66% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.20
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.24
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 94 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1586
- Opponent strength
- 1591
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €18.7M – €35.8M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+116 Elo); role change RW -> LW; relative output down 48% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -47% to +37%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Crystal Palace | Premier League | LW | 34 | 2092 | 61% | 2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 1591 | 1589 | 1.30 |
| 2025/26 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 2 | 160 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 0.56 | 0.26 | 1333 | 1544 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RW | 34 | 1950 | 57% | 4 | 8 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 1513 | 1597 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RW | 7 | 480 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1433 | 1577 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | LW | 36 | 2464 | 72% | 4 | 6 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 1523 | 1581 | 0.98 |
| 2021/22 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RW | 31 | 1685 | 49% | 6 | 4 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 1520 | 1661 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | RW | 24 | 785 | 23% | 3 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 1563 | 1676 | 1.10 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Crystal Palace | 1 | 90 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Spain | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 64 | 0 | 2 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 3 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1510 |
| 2022/23 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 2 | 155 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Villarreal CF | 7 | 431 | 1 | 0 | 1651 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Super Cup | Villarreal CF | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1754 |
| 2021/22 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Europa League | Villarreal CF | 9 | 346 | 1 | 0 | 1542 |
| 2020/21 | Copa Del Rey | Villarreal CF | 4 | 276 | 3 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarai Gray Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €20.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Simon Adingra Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €30.0M | €22.0M | fell |
| Kai Havertz Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €55.0M | €65.0M | flat |
| Diogo Jota Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €28.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Jadon Sancho Premier League · 2022 | 22 | €75.0M | €30.0M | fell |
| Bernard Premier League · 2019 | 27 | €20.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Alexander Isak Laliga · 2022 | 23 | €30.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Antony Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €60.0M | €35.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Villarreal | Crystal Palace | €30.0M | €30.0M |
| 1 Aug 2020 | FC Villarreal C | Villarreal | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Roda U19 | FC Villarreal C | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | CD Roda Youth | Roda U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Las Palmas Yth. | CD Roda Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.