Ryan Flamingo

23 yrs · Centre-back (also DM) · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie · Foot: right · Height: 187 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€14.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€9.9M – €16.9M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.3M – €13.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€8.3M – €25.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€11.6M – €4.1M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€9.9M – €16.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.3M – €13.9M
Projected value (24 months)€8.3M – €25.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Ryan Flamingo's performance-implied value at EUR 5.3M-13.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 9.9M-16.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 8.3M-25.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 52

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh76.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.5 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €13.0M vs market €14.0M
Expected appreciationNeutral-5% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.43
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €20.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1661 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.22
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.08
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.43 (rank 15)
Team strength (Elo)
1606
Opponent strength
1286
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€8.3M – €25.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 42 pts; relative output up 121% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +90% (IQR +30% to +132%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1661 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
82 (DEF)
Relative output kept
65%–166%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB33166154%310.220.08128616060.43
2024/25PSV EindhovenEredivisieCB34294296%020.060.03129416320.50
2023/24FC UtrechtEredivisieDM32276290%210.100.08134313540.48
2022/23Vitesse ArnhemEredivisieCB33268388%310.130.10134213420.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven423200—
2025/26Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven4221001621
2025/26Johan Cruijff SchaalPSV Eindhoven190001297
2024/25Uefa Champions LeaguePSV Eindhoven11858311627
2024/25Knvb BekerPSV Eindhoven330000—
2024/25Johan Cruijff SchaalPSV Eindhoven190001593
2023/24Knvb BekerFC Utrecht218000—
2022/23Knvb BekerVitesse Arnhem112000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Kieran Tierney
Scottish Premiership · 2019
22€12.5M€32.0Mrose
Terence Kongolo
Eredivisie · 2017
23€10.0M€15.0Mrose
Calvin Bassey
Eredivisie · 2023
23€15.0M€25.0Mrose
Lisandro Martínez
Eredivisie · 2021
23€23.0M€50.0Mrose
Jordan Teze
Eredivisie · 2022
23€8.0M€18.0Mrose
Dodô
Premier Liga · 2022
24€20.0M€17.0Mflat
Konstantinos Manolas
Super League 1 · 2014
23€6.0M€24.0Mrose
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€14.0M€9.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
8 Jul 2024UtrechtPSV€9.0M€7.0M
1 Jul 2024SassuoloUtrecht€3.1M€7.0M
30 Jun 2024UtrechtSassuoloFree / loan€7.0M
18 Aug 2023SassuoloUtrechtFree / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2023VitesseSassuoloFree / loan€2.5M
18 Jul 2022SassuoloVitesseFree / loan€1.0M
1 Jul 2022Sassuolo U20SassuoloUnknown€1.0M
7 Jul 2021Almere City U21Sassuolo U20€70k€250k
30 Jun 2021Sassuolo U20Almere City U21Free / loan€250k
1 Feb 2021Almere City U21Sassuolo U20Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Almere City U19Almere City U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2019Almere City U17Almere City U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Almere City FCAlmere City U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014BFC YouthAlmere City FCFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Ryan Flamingo · MoneyballAI