Rodrigo Zalazar

27 yrs · Attacking midfielder (also CM) · Uruguay
SC Braga · Liga Portugal · Foot: right · Height: 175 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2031
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€20.1M – €33.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.0M – €16.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€15.4M – €37.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€28.0M – -€3.7M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€20.1M – €33.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.0M – €16.4M
Projected value (24 months)€15.4M – €37.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Rodrigo Zalazar's performance-implied value at EUR 5.0M-16.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 20.1M-33.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.4M-37.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.45x the positional average in the league (1944 minutes, league coefficient 0.58). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 15

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh82.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral26.9 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €29.9M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-28% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationModerateleague coefficient 0.58
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1944 (64% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.97
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.58
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
83 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.58 (rank 9)
Team strength (Elo)
1533
Opponent strength
1335
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€15.4M – €37.1M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 18 pts; relative output up 39% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -46% to +7%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
58 (MID)
Relative output kept
72%–151%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
78%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26SC BragaLiga PortugalAM28194464%1650.970.58133515330.58
2024/25SC BragaLiga PortugalAM19140146%460.640.41133214780.51
2023/24SC BragaLiga PortugalCM32182760%660.590.32137514990.58
2022/23FC Schalke 04BundesligaAM22132943%160.470.53151913541.04

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga10681211508
2025/26Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Braga5402411364
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingSC Braga6473331445
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga3101001569
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSC Braga6397011648
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueSC Braga2122001539
2023/24Uefa Champions League QualifyingSC Braga383001354
2022/23Dfb PokalFC Schalke 0417310—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Rafa Silva
Liga Portugal · 2021
28€23.0M€22.0Mflat
Moatasem Al-Musrati
Liga Portugal · 2021
25€12.0M€16.0Mrose
Adem Ljajic
Super Lig · 2019
28€12.0M€6.0Mfell
João Mário
Premier Liga · 2020
27€14.5M€10.0Mfell
Everton
Liga Portugal · 2021
25€20.0M€11.0Mfell
Anton Miranchuk
Premier Liga · 2021
26€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Lucas Paquetá
Ligue 1 · 2021
24€30.0M€45.0Mrose
Andreas Skov Olsen
Jupiler Pro League · 2023
24€14.0M€14.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2026BragaSporting€30.0M€30.0M
14 Jul 2023FC Schalke 04Braga€8.4M€4.0M
1 Jul 2022FrankfurtFC Schalke 04€1.5M€3.5M
30 Jun 2022FC Schalke 04FrankfurtFree / loan€3.5M
4 Aug 2021FrankfurtFC Schalke 04Free / loan€2.5M
30 Jun 2021St. PauliFrankfurtFree / loan€2.5M
6 Aug 2020FrankfurtSt. PauliFree / loan€250k
30 Apr 2020Korona KielceFrankfurtFree / loan€50k
5 Jul 2019FrankfurtKorona KielceFree / loan€50k
2 Jul 2019Atl. MalagueñoFrankfurtFree / loan€50k
1 Jul 2018Málaga U19Atl. MalagueñoUnknownData unavailable
1 Feb 2017San Félix U19Málaga U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Sept 2016Málaga U19San Félix U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Albacete U19Málaga U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2014Albacete BalompAlbacete U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.