
İsmail Yüksek
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates İsmail Yüksek's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-5.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.2M-17.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.8M-15.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1764 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 5
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 56.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €13.3M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -48% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.4 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1764 (58% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.15
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 57 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.40 (rank 18)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1477
- Opponent strength
- 1258
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.8M – €15.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts; relative output up 60% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -59% to +4%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1764 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 35 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 77%–144%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 69%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 1764 | 58% | 1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1258 | 1477 | 0.40 |
| 2024/25 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | DM | 20 | 997 | 31% | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 1270 | 1503 | 0.39 |
| 2023/24 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | DM | 30 | 2312 | 68% | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 1263 | 1583 | 0.45 |
| 2022/23 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | DM | 19 | 737 | 23% | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1260 | 1516 | 0.50 |
| 2020/21 | Fenerbahce | Super Lig | CM | 1 | 12 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1180 | 1380 | 0.37 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 8 | 537 | 1 | 1 | 1508 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Turkiye | 2 | 141 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 1650 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 6 | 350 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 3 | 269 | 0 | 0 | 1515 |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 6 | 463 | 1 | 1 | 1418 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League | Fenerbahce | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 | 1528 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 3 | 259 | 1 | 0 | 1356 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Fenerbahce | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 1531 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reo Hatate Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 26 | €11.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Anton Miranchuk Premier Liga · 2021 | 26 | €12.0M | €5.0M | fell |
| Jorge Carrascal Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €7.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Daler Kuzyaev Premier Liga · 2021 | 28 | €8.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Todd Cantwell Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 26 | €8.5M | €8.5M | flat |
| Taylan Antalyalı Super Lig · 2021 | 26 | €6.0M | €2.3M | fell |
| Niclas Eliasson Super League 1 · 2024 | 29 | €4.5M | €3.0M | fell |
| Enis Bardhi Super Lig · 2024 | 29 | €6.5M | €2.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2022 | Bursaspor | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €350k |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Fenerbahçe | Bursaspor | Free / loan | €325k |
| 30 Jun 2021 | Adana Demirspor | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €325k |
| 1 Feb 2021 | Fenerbahçe | Adana Demirspor | Free / loan | €325k |
| 12 Jan 2021 | Balikesirspor | Fenerbahçe | Free / loan | €325k |
| 5 Oct 2020 | Fenerbahçe | Balikesirspor | Free / loan | €75k |
| 19 Aug 2020 | Gölcükspor | Fenerbahçe | €65k | €75k |
| 28 Aug 2018 | B. Yildirim Yth | Gölcükspor | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.