İsmail Yüksek

27 yrs · Defensive midfielder (also CM) · Türkiye
Fenerbahce · Super Lig · Foot: right · Height: 183 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€15.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€10.2M – €17.6M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.5M – €5.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€5.8M – €15.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€16.1M – -€4.5M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€10.2M – €17.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €5.6M
Projected value (24 months)€5.8M – €15.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates İsmail Yüksek's performance-implied value at EUR 1.5M-5.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 10.2M-17.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.8M-15.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.99x the positional average in the league (1764 minutes, league coefficient 0.40). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 5

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAbove average56.6th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.4 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €13.3M vs market €15.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-48% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.4
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €15.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1764 (58% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.15
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.12
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
57 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.40 (rank 18)
Team strength (Elo)
1477
Opponent strength
1258
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€5.8M – €15.0M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts; relative output up 60% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -18% (IQR -59% to +4%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ⚠Limited sample: 1764 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠League level coefficient 0.40 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
35 (MID)
Relative output kept
77%–144%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
69%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26FenerbahceSuper LigDM30176458%120.150.12125814770.40
2024/25FenerbahceSuper LigDM2099731%020.180.08127015030.39
2023/24FenerbahceSuper LigDM30231268%050.190.09126315830.45
2022/23FenerbahceSuper LigDM1973723%010.120.08126015160.50
2020/21FenerbahceSuper LigCM1120%000.000.14118013800.37

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce8537111508
2025/26World CupTurkiye214100—
2025/26Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce247001650
2024/25Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce6350001551
2024/25Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce3269001515
2023/24Uefa Conference League QualifyingFenerbahce6463111418
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFenerbahce4360001528
2022/23Uefa Europa League QualifyingFenerbahce3259101356
2022/23Uefa Champions League QualifyingFenerbahce2143001531

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Reo Hatate
Scottish Premiership · 2023
26€11.0M€13.0Mflat
Anton Miranchuk
Premier Liga · 2021
26€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Jorge Carrascal
Premier Liga · 2023
25€7.0M€7.0Mflat
Daler Kuzyaev
Premier Liga · 2021
28€8.0M€10.0Mrose
Todd Cantwell
Scottish Premiership · 2024
26€8.5M€8.5Mflat
Taylan Antalyalı
Super Lig · 2021
26€6.0M€2.3Mfell
Niclas Eliasson
Super League 1 · 2024
29€4.5M€3.0Mfell
Enis Bardhi
Super Lig · 2024
29€6.5M€2.5Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2022BursasporFenerbahçeFree / loan€350k
14 Aug 2021FenerbahçeBursasporFree / loan€325k
30 Jun 2021Adana DemirsporFenerbahçeFree / loan€325k
1 Feb 2021FenerbahçeAdana DemirsporFree / loan€325k
12 Jan 2021BalikesirsporFenerbahçeFree / loan€325k
5 Oct 2020FenerbahçeBalikesirsporFree / loan€75k
19 Aug 2020GölcüksporFenerbahçe€65k€75k
28 Aug 2018B. Yildirim YthGölcüksporFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.