Reo Hatate

The model rates Reo Hatate's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-10.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.9M-9.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-7.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.76x the positional average in the league (1700 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1700 (57% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.21

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.17

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

67 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1406

Opponent strength

1197

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€3.0M – €7.4M

Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-106 Elo); relative output down 29% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -40% (IQR -45% to -36%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Limited sample: 1700 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

10 (MID)

Relative output kept

77%–107%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

80%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.