Robin Hranac
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Robin Hranac's performance-implied value at EUR 2.0M-7.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 6.1M-14.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.2M-14.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 37
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 63.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 26.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €10.1M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2251 (74% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.04
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.04
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 63 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1508
- Opponent strength
- 1476
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.2M – €14.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -47% to -13%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 29 | 2251 | 74% | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1476 | 1508 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga | CB | 4 | 219 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1574 | 1415 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Czech Republic | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 172 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Viktoria Plzen | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1297 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1518 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kelly Premier League · 2015 | 25 | €5.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Andoni Gorosabel Laliga · 2021 | 25 | €10.0M | €9.0M | flat |
| Luiz Felipe Serie A · 2022 | 25 | €16.0M | €13.0M | flat |
| Emerson Ligue 1 · 2022 | 28 | €14.0M | €12.0M | flat |
| Leonardo Balerdi Ligue 1 · 2023 | 24 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Unai Núñez Laliga · 2023 | 26 | €6.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Rodrigo Ely Laliga · 2018 | 25 | €6.0M | €1.6M | fell |
| Bartosz Bereszyński Serie A · 2018 | 26 | €12.0M | €6.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2024 | Viktoria Plzeň | Hoffenheim | €8.0M | €5.0M |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Pardubice | Viktoria Plzeň | Free / loan | €350k |
| 12 Aug 2022 | Viktoria Plzeň | Pardubice | Free / loan | €225k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Vikt. Plzen B | Viktoria Plzeň | Unknown | €225k |
| 30 Jun 2022 | Pardubice | Vikt. Plzen B | Free / loan | €225k |
| 4 Jan 2022 | Vikt. Plzen B | Pardubice | Free / loan | €175k |
| 31 Dec 2021 | Lipt. Mikulas | Vikt. Plzen B | Free / loan | €175k |
| 10 Jul 2021 | Vikt. Plzen B | Lipt. Mikulas | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Vikt. Plzen U19 | Vikt. Plzen B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Vikt. Plzen U17 | Vikt. Plzen U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Vik. Plzen Yth. | Vikt. Plzen U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 4 Mar 2015 | Kdyne 1920 Yth. | Vik. Plzen Yth. | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 30 Jun 2011 | Klatovy Yth. | Kdyne 1920 Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 3 Sept 2010 | Kdyne 1920 Yth. | Klatovy Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.