Wilfried Gnonto
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Wilfried Gnonto's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-16.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 12.3M-23.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.8M-23.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.42x the positional average in the league (524 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Above average | 67.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €18.3M vs market €16.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -4% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 14% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 524 (15% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.52
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.76
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 67 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1521
- Opponent strength
- 1648
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 14%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.8M – €23.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +6% (IQR -23% to +43%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Small sample: 524 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Leeds United | Premier League | SS | 23 | 524 | 15% | 0 | 3 | 0.52 | 0.76 | 1648 | 1521 | 1.30 |
| 2022/23 | Leeds United | Premier League | LW | 24 | 1351 | 40% | 2 | 4 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1581 | 1418 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 5 | 311 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Leeds United | 3 | 221 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | FC Zürich | 2 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 1455 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | FC Zürich | 3 | 149 | 1 | 1 | 1324 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Sinisterra Premier League · 2024 | 25 | €17.0M | €11.0M | fell |
| Jarrod Bowen Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €16.0M | €42.0M | rose |
| Ivan Cavaleiro Premier League · 2019 | 26 | €10.0M | €7.0M | fell |
| Kelechi Iheanacho Premier League · 2018 | 22 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Ademola Lookman Bundesliga · 2018 | 21 | €12.0M | €13.5M | flat |
| Morgan Rogers Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €15.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Joe Gelhardt Premier League · 2022 | 20 | €6.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Julio Enciso Premier League · 2023 | 19 | €22.0M | €22.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2022 | FC Zürich | Leeds | €4.5M | €10.0M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Inter U19 | FC Zürich | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Inter U18 | Inter U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Inter U17 | Inter U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Mar 2018 | Inter Youth | Inter U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.