Kamiel Van De Perre
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kamiel Van De Perre's performance-implied value at EUR 2.9M-10.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.8M-15.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 4.7M-16.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (1619 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 62
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 59.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €9.1M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 25% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1619 (60% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.17
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 60 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1570
- Opponent strength
- 1351
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 25%
- Resale range (24m)
- €4.7M – €16.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +25% (IQR -1% to +68%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1619 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 22 | 1619 | 60% | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 1351 | 1570 | 0.65 |
| 2024/25 | Union Saint-Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 14 | 426 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1346 | 1545 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 598 | 0 | 0 | 1683 |
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 590 | 0 | 0 | 1446 |
| 2025/26 | Volkswagen Supercup | Union Saint-Gilloise | 1 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1552 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Union Saint-Gilloise | 5 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 1500 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilzat Akhmetov Premier Liga · 2019 | 21 | €8.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Dmitriy Barinov Premier Liga · 2019 | 23 | €7.5M | €12.0M | rose |
| Geny Catamo Liga Portugal · 2024 | 23 | €10.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Talisca Super Lig · 2017 | 23 | €13.0M | €25.0M | rose |
| Óliver Torres Liga Portugal · 2017 | 23 | €14.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Bryan Heynen Jupiler Pro League · 2019 | 22 | €7.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| André Horta Liga Portugal · 2018 | 22 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Albert Gudmundsson Eredivisie · 2021 | 24 | €4.0M | €4.5M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | Jong Genk | Union SG | Free / loan | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | KRC Genk U18 | KRC Genk U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Lierse SK Yth. | KRC Genk Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.