Máximo Perrone
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Máximo Perrone's performance-implied value at EUR 18.3M-53.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 26.9M-49.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 22.6M-58.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.76x the positional average in the league (2750 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 51
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 87.5th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.5 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €36.7M vs market €35.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +6% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.93 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2750 (80% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.23
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.22
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 88 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.93 (rank 4)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1589
- Opponent strength
- 1505
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €22.6M – €58.8M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 26 pts; team strength up (+128 Elo); relative output up 41% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -29% to +81%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Como 1907 | Serie A | DM | 36 | 2750 | 80% | 3 | 4 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 1505 | 1589 | 0.93 |
| 2024/25 | Como 1907 | Serie A | DM | 26 | 1860 | 54% | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1496 | 1461 | 0.99 |
| 2023/24 | UD Las Palmas | Laliga | DM | 29 | 1627 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1508 | 1344 | 1.00 |
| 2022/23 | Manchester City | Premier League | DM | 1 | 18 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1401 | 1915 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Italy Cup | Como 1907 | 5 | 323 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Copa Del Rey | UD Las Palmas | 1 | 65 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2022/23 | Fa Cup | Manchester City | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães Ligue 1 · 2022 | 25 | €40.0M | €85.0M | rose |
| Alan Dzagoev Premier Liga · 2013 | 23 | €25.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Andrea Bertolacci Serie A · 2015 | 24 | €15.0M | €10.0M | fell |
| Leandro Paredes Premier Liga · 2018 | 24 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| James Rodríguez Ligue 1 · 2014 | 23 | €35.0M | €70.0M | rose |
| Miralem Pjanić Serie A · 2014 | 24 | €20.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Maxence Caqueret Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €25.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Mattéo Guendouzi Ligue 1 · 2022 | 23 | €25.0M | €25.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2025 | Man City | Como | €13.0M | €12.0M |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Como | Man City | Free / loan | €12.0M |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Man City | Como | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 30 Jun 2024 | UD Las Palmas | Man City | Free / loan | €9.0M |
| 23 Aug 2023 | Man City | UD Las Palmas | Free / loan | €10.0M |
| 23 Jan 2023 | Vélez Sarsfield | Man City | €11.0M | €8.5M |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Vélez II | Vélez Sarsfield | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Vélez U20 | Vélez II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2019 | Vélez JV | Vélez U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.