Thomas Claes
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thomas Claes's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.1M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-3.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.8M-3.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.86x the positional average in the league (2574 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 70
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 25.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €1.5M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +19% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 33% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2574 (95% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.19
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 25 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1228
- Opponent strength
- 1384
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 33%
- Resale range (24m)
- €802k – €3.5M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +101% (IQR +15% to +137%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 30 | 2574 | 95% | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 1384 | 1228 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Relegation Play Offs | Zulte Waregem | 4 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 1245 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Passlack Eredivisie · 2020 | 22 | €1.3M | €1.5M | flat |
| Kenzo Goudmijn Eredivisie · 2023 | 22 | €1.3M | €1.5M | flat |
| Allan Campbell Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 23 | €1.3M | €3.0M | rose |
| Jerdy Schouten Eredivisie · 2019 | 22 | €2.0M | €9.0M | rose |
| Mitchell van Bergen Eredivisie · 2021 | 22 | €2.4M | €1.2M | fell |
| Navarone Foor Eredivisie · 2016 | 24 | €1.0M | €1.8M | rose |
| Ali McCann Scottish Premiership · 2021 | 22 | €1.2M | €2.8M | rose |
| Costinha Liga Portugal · 2023 | 23 | €2.0M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Genk | Zulte Waregem | €300k | €400k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Jong Genk | Genk | Unknown | €600k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | KRC Genk U18 | Jong Genk | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | KRC Genk Youth | KRC Genk U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.