Roman Didyk

23 yrs · Centre-back · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liga · Foot: right · Height: 185 cm
Risk: Very HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€1.5M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€829k – €2.0M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€571k – €1.4M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€741k – €3.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€1.4M – €583k
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€829k – €2.0M
Model value (performance-implied)€571k – €1.4M
Projected value (24 months)€741k – €3.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Roman Didyk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.8M-2.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.7M-3.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 54

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average30.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.6 years
Acquisition costNeutralest. €1.4M vs market €1.5M
Expected appreciationNeutral+0% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskVery High
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €1.5M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1985 (74% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.04
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.05
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
30 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1242
Opponent strength
1182
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
declining
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€741k – €3.0M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; relative output down 57% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -34% to +6%).

Risk profile

Overall: Very High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
11 (DEF)
Relative output kept
108%–176%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
82%
Confidence
Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaCB24198574%100.050.05118212420.25
2024/25Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB28232186%220.160.11120311990.28
2023/24Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB27237588%110.080.07127312650.34
2022/23Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB24195072%100.050.05129212180.38
2021/22Rukh LvivPremier LigaCB977250%000.000.05132012350.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy327000—
2024/25Ukrainian CupRukh Lviv218000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Jordan
Premier Liga · 2024
25€800k€1.0Mrose
Lewis Mayo
Scottish Premiership · 2024
24€900k€600kfell
Vitaliy Roman
Premier Liga · 2024
21€800k€500kfell
Artem Smolyakov
Premier Liga · 2024
21€800k€1.5Mrose
Pepe Castaño
Super League 1 · 2023
25€700k€700kflat
John Souttar
Scottish Premiership · 2019
23€1.3M€800kfell
Achilleas Poungouras
Super League 1 · 2021
26€800k€600kfell
David Carmona
Super League 1 · 2023
26€450k€450kflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025Rukh LvivLNZ Cherkasy€500k€800k
23 Jul 2021AgrobiznesRukh Lviv€20k€150k
11 Jul 2019UFK LvivAgrobiznesFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.