Denys Kuzyk

24 yrs · Right midfielder (also LB, LM) · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy · Premier Liga · Foot: both · Height: 179 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
Market value
€2.0M
Updated 7 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€920k – €2.7M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€496k – €2.2M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€1.0M – €4.0M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€2.2M – €1.3M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€920k – €2.7M
Model value (performance-implied)€496k – €2.2M
Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €4.0M
Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Denys Kuzyk's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.9M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.0M-4.0M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.03x the positional average in the league (2548 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 79

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceBelow average32.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeFavorable23.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €1.7M vs market €2.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+11% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationUncertainleague coefficient 0.25
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €2.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2548 (94% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.28
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.23
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
33 (Below average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.25 (rank 30)
Team strength (Elo)
1242
Opponent strength
1168
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
stable
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€1.0M – €4.0M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; role change RM -> LM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -6% (IQR -37% to +25%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Historical movers
37 (all positions)
Relative output kept
87%–128%
Held a regular role (900+ min)
86%
Confidence
Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26LNZ CherkasyPremier LigaLM30254894%350.280.23116812420.25
2024/25Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaRM30257295%240.210.21120112370.28
2023/24Kryvbas Kryvyi RigPremier LigaRM25168863%540.480.28126012940.34
2022/23PFK LvivPremier LigaLM13106940%010.080.25130810290.38
2022/23Kolos KovalivkaPremier LigaLM41245%000.000.27132111910.38
2021/22Chornomorets OdesaPremier LigaLB14109868%020.160.19131511560.45

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Ukrainian CupLNZ Cherkasy436000—
2024/25Uefa Europa League QualifyingKryvbas Kryvyi Rig2137001586
2024/25Uefa Conference League QualifyingKryvbas Kryvyi Rig2135001525
2024/25Ukrainian CupKryvbas Kryvyi Rig19000—
2023/24Ukrainian CupKryvbas Kryvyi Rig19000—
2021/22Ukrainian CupChornomorets Odesa19000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Eder González
Super League 1 · 2023
26€700k€800kflat
Magnus Kofod Andersen
Superliga · 2021
22€3.5M€1.5Mfell
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Superliga · 2019
21€1.5M€1.8Mrose
Pedro Ferreira
Superliga · 2021
23€700k€500kfell
Haris Hajradinovic
Super Lig · 2021
27€3.2M€2.5Mfell
Yegor Tverdokhlib
Premier Liga · 2023
23€600k€1.5Mrose
Iver Fossum
Superliga · 2022
26€1.5M€650kfell
Mark Brink
Superliga · 2022
24€700k€1.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025KryvbasLNZ Cherkasy€650k€1.0M
18 Aug 2023Dynamo KyivKryvbasFree / loan€300k
30 Jun 2023PFC LvivDynamo KyivFree / loan€300k
6 Feb 2023Dynamo KyivPFC LvivFree / loan€250k
31 Dec 2022Kolos KovalivkaDynamo KyivFree / loan€250k
4 Feb 2022Dynamo KyivKolos KovalivkaFree / loan€300k
30 Jan 2022ChornomoretsDynamo KyivFree / loan€300k
21 Jul 2021Dynamo KyivChornomoretsFree / loan€75k
1 Jul 2021Dynamo Kyiv IIDynamo KyivUnknown€75k
1 Jul 2019Dynamo Kyiv U19Dynamo Kyiv IIUnknownData unavailable
30 Jan 2019Dynamo Kyiv U17Dynamo Kyiv U19UnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.