Youssef Enríquez

21 yrs · Left-back · Morocco
Deportivo Alavés · Laliga · Foot: left · Height: 170 cm
Risk: HighConfidence: MediumSample: MediumDevelopment: HighContract: until 30 Jun 2029
Market value
€4.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€3.5M – €9.5M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€1.3M – €7.9M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€2.6M – €11.1M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€8.2M – €4.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€3.5M – €9.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €7.9M
Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €11.1M
Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Youssef Enríquez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-7.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-9.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-11.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 43

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceAverage40.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeVery favorable20.7 years
Acquisition costUnfavorableest. €5.3M vs market €4.0M
Expected appreciationHigh+24% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery negativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentHighbreakout probability 32%
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.95
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskHigh
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €5.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1332 (39% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.07
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.11
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
40 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.95 (rank 2)
Team strength (Elo)
1410
Opponent strength
1440
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
High
Trajectory
insufficient
Breakout probability
32%
Resale range (24m)
€2.6M – €11.1M

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +63% (IQR -11% to +122%).

Risk profile

Overall: High

  • ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
  • ⚠Limited sample: 1332 league minutes last season.
  • ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Deportivo AlavésLaligaLB25133239%010.070.11144014100.95

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Copa Del ReyDeportivo Alavés427900—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Koni De Winter
Serie A · 2023
21€4.0M€22.0Mrose
Silvan Widmer
Serie A · 2014
21€2.5M€6.5Mrose
Cristiano Biraghi
Serie A · 2014
22€2.5M€2.5Mflat
Fabiano Parisi
Serie A · 2022
22€4.5M€9.5Mrose
Matteo Lovato
Serie A · 2022
22€7.0M€4.0Mfell
Nicola Murru
Serie A · 2014
20€4.0M€2.5Mfell
Lukas Klünter
Bundesliga · 2018
22€3.0M€4.0Mrose
Adam Obert
Serie A · 2024
22€3.5M€7.0Mrose

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
16 Jul 2025RM CastillaAlavés€3.0M€500k
1 Jul 2024Real Madrid U19RM CastillaUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2022Real Madrid U18Real Madrid U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2021Real Madrid U17Real Madrid U18UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020R.Madrid Yth.Real Madrid U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Getafe CF YouthR.Madrid Yth.Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2016Moratalaz YouthGetafe CF YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2015Rayo YouthMoratalaz YouthFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.

Youssef Enríquez · MoneyballAI