
Youssef Enríquez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Youssef Enríquez's performance-implied value at EUR 1.3M-7.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 3.5M-9.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 2.6M-11.1M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 43
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 40.3th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €5.3M vs market €4.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +24% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 32% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1332 (39% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.11
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 40 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1410
- Opponent strength
- 1440
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 32%
- Resale range (24m)
- €2.6M – €11.1M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +63% (IQR -11% to +122%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1332 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Deportivo Alavés | Laliga | LB | 25 | 1332 | 39% | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 1440 | 1410 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Deportivo Alavés | 4 | 279 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koni De Winter Serie A · 2023 | 21 | €4.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Silvan Widmer Serie A · 2014 | 21 | €2.5M | €6.5M | rose |
| Cristiano Biraghi Serie A · 2014 | 22 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Fabiano Parisi Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €4.5M | €9.5M | rose |
| Matteo Lovato Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Nicola Murru Serie A · 2014 | 20 | €4.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Lukas Klünter Bundesliga · 2018 | 22 | €3.0M | €4.0M | rose |
| Adam Obert Serie A · 2024 | 22 | €3.5M | €7.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | RM Castilla | Alavés | €3.0M | €500k |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Real Madrid U19 | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Real Madrid U18 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Real Madrid U17 | Real Madrid U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | R.Madrid Yth. | Real Madrid U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Getafe CF Youth | R.Madrid Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Moratalaz Youth | Getafe CF Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2015 | Rayo Youth | Moratalaz Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.