Soungoutou Magassa
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Soungoutou Magassa's performance-implied value at EUR 8.7M-27.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 13.4M-24.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.0M-32.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.94x the positional average in the league (979 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 48
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 81.3th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €18.7M vs market €17.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +9% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 14% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 979 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.09
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1646
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 14%
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.0M – €32.2M
Trajectory drivers: changed club; league level up (+149 Elo); relative output up 60% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -14% (IQR -37% to +47%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 979 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | West Ham United | Premier League | DM | 22 | 979 | 29% | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 1646 | 1520 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | DM | 21 | 1022 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1479 | 1571 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 21 | 1343 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1459 | 1573 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | AS Monaco | Ligue 1 | CB | 2 | 80 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1551 | 1485 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | West Ham United | 4 | 280 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | AS Monaco | 7 | 284 | 1 | 0 | 1659 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | AS Monaco | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1728 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Garner Premier League · 2023 | 22 | €14.0M | €18.0M | rose |
| João Gomes Premier League · 2023 | 22 | €18.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Alex Scott Premier League · 2024 | 21 | €20.0M | €50.0M | rose |
| Carles Aleñá Laliga · 2020 | 22 | €18.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Kenedy Premier League · 2019 | 23 | €10.0M | €10.0M | flat |
| Steven Alzate Premier League · 2021 | 23 | €6.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Albert Sambi Lokonga Premier League · 2023 | 24 | €15.0M | €8.0M | fell |
| Sean Longstaff Premier League · 2020 | 23 | €17.5M | €13.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Monaco | West Ham | €17.0M | €12.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Monaco U21 | Monaco | Unknown | €200k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Monaco U19 | Monaco B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | AS Monaco U17 | Monaco U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Aug 2018 | Paris 13 Jugend | AS Monaco U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2016 | Lusitanos Jgd. | Paris 13 Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2013 | Joinville Jgd | Lusitanos Jgd. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.