André
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates André's performance-implied value at EUR 9.6M-21.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 16.5M-34.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 15.2M-34.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.49x the positional average in the league (2766 minutes, league coefficient 1.30). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 80.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €26.2M vs market €25.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2766 (81% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.03
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 81 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1425
- Opponent strength
- 1612
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €15.2M – €34.9M
Trajectory drivers: team strength down (-77 Elo); relative output up 50% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -34% (IQR -43% to -17%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | DM | 35 | 2766 | 81% | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 1612 | 1425 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Premier League | DM | 33 | 2485 | 73% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1576 | 1501 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3 | 162 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico Henry Premier League · 2022 | 25 | €20.0M | €20.0M | flat |
| Leander Dendoncker Premier League · 2021 | 26 | €30.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Matheus Nunes Premier League · 2023 | 25 | €45.0M | €35.0M | fell |
| Vitaly Janelt Premier League · 2024 | 26 | €22.0M | €16.0M | fell |
| Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Premier League · 2020 | 25 | €12.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Nemanja Maksimovic Laliga · 2021 | 26 | €15.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Tom Ince Premier League · 2018 | 26 | €8.0M | €4.8M | fell |
| Brenden Aaronson Premier League · 2023 | 23 | €25.0M | €15.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2024 | Fluminense | Wolves | €22.0M | €25.0M |
| 1 Mar 2021 | Fluminense U20 | Fluminense | Unknown | €250k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Fluminense U17 | Fluminense U20 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.