Anton Salabay
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Anton Salabay's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-0.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-1.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.3M-0.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (1493 minutes, league coefficient 0.25). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 69
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 15.4th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 24.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €504k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +1% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1493 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 15 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1200
- Opponent strength
- 1195
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €279k – €936k
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 16 pts; changed club; team strength up (+89 Elo); relative output down 23% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +0% (IQR -21% to +65%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1493 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 18 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 87%–104%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 94%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | LW | 24 | 1493 | 55% | 4 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 1195 | 1200 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Vorskla Poltava | Premier Liga | LW | 10 | 802 | 30% | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 1195 | 1088 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | CM | 10 | 254 | 9% | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 1188 | 1186 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | ST | 19 | 577 | 21% | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 1311 | 1143 | 0.34 |
| 2021/22 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | AM | 1 | 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 1357 | 1276 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | Kolos Kovalivka | Premier Liga | AM | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 1544 | 1336 | 0.49 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 56 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Ukrainian Cup | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 71 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Rosero Super League 1 · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €800k | rose |
| Oleksandr Nazarenko Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €700k | €2.5M | rose |
| Dylan Vente Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 25 | €800k | €2.5M | rose |
| Kubilay Kanatsızkuş Super Lig · 2021 | 24 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Kostyantyn Bychek Premier Liga · 2023 | 23 | €400k | €300k | fell |
| Andriy Kulakov Premier Liga · 2024 | 25 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Oleg Kozhushko Premier Liga · 2023 | 25 | €500k | €600k | rose |
| Bruce Anderson Scottish Premiership · 2023 | 25 | €600k | €500k | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2025 | Vorskla Poltava | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €300k |
| 1 Jan 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka | Vorskla Poltava | Free / loan | €300k |
| 30 Jun 2023 | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Kolos Kovalivka | Free / loan | €75k |
| 9 Sept 2022 | Kolos Kovalivka | Dinaz Vyshgorod | Free / loan | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Kolos U19 | Kolos Kovalivka | Unknown | €100k |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Kolos II | Kolos U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2020 | Kolos U19 | Kolos II | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Kolos U17 | Kolos U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.