Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jakob Napoleon Romsaas's performance-implied value at EUR 0.7M-3.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.5M-1.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.6M-2.6M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.97x the positional average in the league (1499 minutes, league coefficient 0.65). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 96
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 29.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €647k vs market €1.2M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 25% |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1499 (56% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.30
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.39
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 30 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1307
- Opponent strength
- 1367
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 25%
- Resale range (24m)
- €568k – €2.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +3% (IQR -23% to +102%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 1499 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 60 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 63%–142%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 72%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | Jupiler Pro League | AM | 28 | 1499 | 56% | 1 | 4 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 1367 | 1307 | 0.65 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Europe Play Offs | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 9 | 241 | 1 | 0 | 1406 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Royal Charleroi Sporting Club | 2 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 1342 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Colombatto Jupiler Pro League · 2020 | 23 | €1.2M | €2.5M | rose |
| Tomás Podstawski Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €1.0M | €525k | fell |
| Show Liga Portugal · 2021 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.3M | flat |
| Thomas Van den Keybus Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 22 | €1.5M | €800k | fell |
| Abu Francis Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 22 | €1.5M | €1.8M | rose |
| Peter Etebo Liga Portugal · 2017 | 22 | €1.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Pelle Clement Eredivisie · 2019 | 23 | €900k | €800k | flat |
| Sérgio Oliveira Liga Portugal · 2014 | 22 | €1.0M | €2.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Tromsø IL | R Charleroi SC | €1.5M | €1.5M |
| 24 Feb 2023 | Skeid | Tromsø IL | €270k | €450k |
| 7 Jul 2021 | Skeid Yth. | Skeid | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.