Senny Mayulu
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Senny Mayulu's performance-implied value at EUR 22.6M-69.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 20.7M-47.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 30.8M-85.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.80x the positional average in the league (1682 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 100
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | High | 87.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Favorable | est. €27.7M vs market €40.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +81% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 14% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1682 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.43
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 88 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1818
- Opponent strength
- 1463
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 14%
- Resale range (24m)
- €30.8M – €85.5M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 29 pts.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +40% (IQR +33% to +71%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1682 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CM | 26 | 1682 | 55% | 4 | 4 | 0.43 | 0.18 | 1463 | 1817 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | CM | 20 | 800 | 26% | 2 | 2 | 0.45 | 0.15 | 1383 | 1812 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | AM | 8 | 323 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.28 | 0.18 | 1381 | 1700 | 0.87 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 11 | 442 | 2 | 0 | 1697 |
| 2025/26 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1580 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1590 |
| 2024/25 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1584 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala Bundesliga · 2022 | 19 | €65.0M | €120M | rose |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery Ligue 1 · 2024 | 18 | €60.0M | €80.0M | rose |
| Pedri Laliga · 2023 | 21 | €100M | €140M | rose |
| Giovani Lo Celso Ligue 1 · 2018 | 22 | €30.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic Bundesliga · 2024 | 20 | €30.0M | €90.0M | rose |
| Marco Verratti Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €45.0M | €75.0M | rose |
| Matteo Ruggeri Serie A · 2024 | 22 | €20.0M | €28.0M | rose |
| Federico Valverde Laliga · 2020 | 22 | €54.0M | €70.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2024 | Paris SG U19 | PSG | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Paris SG U17 | Paris SG U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | PSG Youth | Paris SG U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Epinay Jugend | PSG Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2014 | St-Denis US Jgd | Epinay Jugend | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.