Leny Yoro
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Leny Yoro's performance-implied value at EUR 28.8M-63.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 37.8M-77.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 29.4M-71.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 11
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 93.4th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €58.7M vs market €50.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 6% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 1.3 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1739 (51% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 93 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 1.30 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1715
- Opponent strength
- 1575
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 6%
- Resale range (24m)
- €29.4M – €71.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 17 pts; team strength up (+112 Elo); relative output up 128% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -23% to +101%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⚠Limited sample: 1739 league minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Manchester United | Premier League | CB | 32 | 1739 | 51% | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 1575 | 1715 | 1.30 |
| 2024/25 | Manchester United | Premier League | CB | 21 | 1164 | 34% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1554 | 1603 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | CB | 32 | 2672 | 87% | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1484 | 1552 | 0.87 |
| 2022/23 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | CB | 13 | 768 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1443 | 1555 | 0.82 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Manchester United | 8 | 641 | 1 | 1 | 1590 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Manchester United | 3 | 159 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 2 | 170 | 1 | 0 | 1518 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Colwill Premier League · 2024 | 21 | €50.0M | €50.0M | flat |
| Reece James Premier League · 2020 | 21 | €22.5M | €60.0M | rose |
| José María Giménez Laliga · 2018 | 23 | €45.0M | €56.0M | rose |
| Achraf Hakimi Bundesliga · 2019 | 21 | €30.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Jarell Quansah Premier League · 2024 | 21 | €22.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Ian Maatsen Bundesliga · 2024 | 22 | €40.0M | €30.0M | fell |
| Dan-Axel Zagadou Bundesliga · 2019 | 20 | €28.0M | €18.0M | fell |
| Kieran Tierney Premier League · 2021 | 24 | €32.0M | €25.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2024 | Lille | Man Utd | €62.0M | €50.0M |
| 1 Jul 2022 | LOSC Lille B | Lille | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jan 2022 | LOSC Lille U19 | LOSC Lille B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | LOSC Lille U17 | LOSC Lille U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | LOSC Lille Yth. | LOSC Lille U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.