Jarell Quansah
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jarell Quansah's performance-implied value at EUR 16.0M-48.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 33.8M-60.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 27.6M-59.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 15
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Elite | 91.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.4 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €49.2M vs market €45.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -21% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2302 (75% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.16
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 92 (Elite)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1626
- Opponent strength
- 1475
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €27.6M – €59.0M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 61 pts; changed club; team strength down (-174 Elo); league level down (-105 Elo); relative output up 138% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +18% (IQR -34% to +21%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Bundesliga | CB | 28 | 2302 | 75% | 4 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 1475 | 1626 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | CB | 13 | 488 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1569 | 1800 | 1.23 |
| 2023/24 | Liverpool FC | Premier League | CB | 17 | 1190 | 35% | 2 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 1554 | 1755 | 1.14 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 11 | 990 | 0 | 0 | 1645 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 414 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | England | 1 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | Liverpool FC | 4 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 1665 |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2023/24 | Uefa Europa League | Liverpool FC | 7 | 539 | 1 | 0 | 1523 |
| 2023/24 | Fa Cup | Liverpool FC | 4 | 390 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Ibañez Serie A · 2021 | 23 | €25.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Alejandro Balde Laliga · 2023 | 20 | €50.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Aitor Paredes Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €22.0M | €7.5M | fell |
| Pierre Kalulu Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €28.0M | €20.0M | fell |
| Dayot Upamecano Bundesliga · 2018 | 20 | €30.0M | €45.0M | rose |
| Çağlar Söyüncü Premier League · 2020 | 24 | €32.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Luke Shaw Premier League · 2019 | 24 | €30.0M | €35.0M | flat |
| Alessandro Florenzi Serie A · 2018 | 27 | €30.0M | €16.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2025 | Liverpool | Leverkusen | €35.0M | €20.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Liverpool U21 | Liverpool | Unknown | €400k |
| 31 May 2023 | Bristol Rovers | Liverpool U21 | Free / loan | €400k |
| 20 Jan 2023 | Liverpool U21 | Bristol Rovers | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Liverpool U18 | Liverpool U23 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Liverpool Youth | Liverpool U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.