Víctor Muñoz
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Víctor Muñoz's performance-implied value at EUR 4.4M-14.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 20.5M-50.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 17.3M-48.9M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.77x the positional average in the league (2670 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 61.9th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €33.6M vs market €30.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 13% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Low | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2670 (78% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.31
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 62 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1464
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 13%
- Resale range (24m)
- €17.3M – €48.9M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -19% (IQR -40% to +25%).
Risk profile
Overall: Low
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | CA Osasuna | Laliga | LW | 34 | 2670 | 78% | 6 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 1464 | 1427 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Real Madrid | Laliga | LW | 2 | 34 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1473 | 1764 | 0.95 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | CA Osasuna | 2 | 96 | 1 | 3 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego López Laliga · 2024 | 22 | €14.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Juan Iturbe Serie A · 2014 | 21 | €20.0M | €15.0M | fell |
| Anthony Gordon Premier League · 2022 | 21 | €20.0M | €60.0M | rose |
| Lorenzo Lucca Serie A · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Erik Lamela Premier League · 2015 | 23 | €22.0M | €25.0M | flat |
| Silas Bundesliga · 2023 | 25 | €8.0M | €7.0M | flat |
| Fran Pérez Laliga · 2024 | 22 | €8.0M | €2.5M | fell |
| Bryan Gil Laliga · 2021 | 20 | €30.0M | €15.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2025 | RM Castilla | CA Osasuna | €5.0M | €1.0M |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Real Madrid C | RM Castilla | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Real Madrid U19 | RSC Inter FC | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Damm U19 | Real Madrid U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | CF Damm Youth | Damm U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2017 | Barça Youth | CF Damm Youth | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.