Ali Youssif
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Ali Youssif's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.2M-4.4M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 35
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 33.7th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 25 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.6M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -8% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 968 (32% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 34 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1304
- Opponent strength
- 1492
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.2M – €4.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -16% (IQR -36% to +62%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 968 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | FC Nantes | Ligue 1 | CB | 13 | 968 | 32% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1492 | 1304 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bani Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €2.5M | €2.4M | flat |
| Gianluca Di Chiara Serie A · 2018 | 25 | €1.5M | €1.1M | fell |
| Lindsay Rose Ligue 1 · 2017 | 25 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Nicolas Cozza Ligue 1 · 2024 | 25 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Ardian Ismajli Serie A · 2022 | 26 | €1.8M | €3.0M | rose |
| Marin Pongracic Serie A · 2023 | 26 | €4.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Gabriel Suazo Ligue 1 · 2023 | 26 | €2.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Lorenzo Ariaudo Serie A · 2014 | 25 | €1.5M | €600k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2026 | Club Africain | FC Nantes | €500k | €800k |
| 14 Aug 2024 | Al-Ahly | Club Africain | Free / loan | €250k |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.