Jayden Meghoma
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jayden Meghoma's performance-implied value at EUR 5.1M-20.9M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.5M-5.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.6M-6.7M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 86
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Above average | 67.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €2.9M vs market €2.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +116% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 47% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.31 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2040 (69% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.22
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 68 (Above average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.31 (rank 1)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1427
- Opponent strength
- 1205
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 47%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.6M – €6.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +34% (IQR +0% to +82%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 16 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 90%–275%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 75%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Rangers FC | Scottish Premiership | LB | 27 | 2040 | 69% | 1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1205 | 1427 | 0.31 |
| 2024/25 | Brentford FC | Premier League | LB | 1 | 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1722 | 1583 | 1.23 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | Rangers FC | 8 | 496 | 0 | 0 | 1493 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Rangers FC | 2 | 160 | 0 | 1 | 1595 |
| 2025/26 | Scottish Fa Cup | Rangers FC | 3 | 102 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Fa Cup | Preston North End | 2 | 143 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serkan Asan Super Lig · 2021 | 22 | €3.0M | €500k | fell |
| Youri Regeer Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Wesley Hoedt Eredivisie · 2015 | 21 | €1.8M | €7.5M | rose |
| Victor Kristiansen Superliga · 2022 | 20 | €4.0M | €15.0M | rose |
| Eren Elmalı Super Lig · 2022 | 22 | €3.2M | €4.0M | rose |
| Lucas Fasson Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €3.5M | €5.0M | rose |
| Daniil Denisov Premier Liga · 2023 | 21 | €4.0M | €4.0M | flat |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 23 | €5.0M | €5.0M | flat |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Rangers | Brentford | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Brentford | Rangers | Free / loan | €500k |
| 30 Jun 2025 | Preston | Brentford | Free / loan | €500k |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Brentford | Preston | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Southampton U21 | Brentford | €5.9M | Data unavailable |
| 29 Sept 2022 | Tottenham Yth. | Southampton U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.