Nhoa Sangui
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Nhoa Sangui's performance-implied value at EUR 1.4M-7.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 8.2M-19.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.9M-21.2M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 24
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 44.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €14.5M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +16% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 24% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1734 (57% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.07
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 45 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1454
- Opponent strength
- 1491
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- declining
- Breakout probability
- 24%
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.9M – €21.2M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 19 pts; changed club; team strength up (+97 Elo); relative output down 56% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +17% (IQR -30% to +87%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ⚠Limited sample: 1734 league minutes last season.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Paris FC | Ligue 1 | LB | 26 | 1734 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1491 | 1454 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Reims | Ligue 1 | LB | 26 | 1148 | 38% | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 1435 | 1357 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faitout Maouassa Ligue 1 · 2019 | 21 | €8.0M | €12.0M | rose |
| Mert Müldür Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €9.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Benoît Badiashile Ligue 1 · 2020 | 19 | €18.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Maxime Estève Ligue 1 · 2023 | 21 | €7.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Nikola Milenković Serie A · 2018 | 21 | €9.0M | €24.0M | rose |
| David Zima Serie A · 2022 | 22 | €7.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Rogério Serie A · 2021 | 23 | €6.0M | €5.5M | flat |
| Flavius Daniliuc Ligue 1 · 2022 | 21 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | Stade Reims | Paris FC | €9.5M | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Stade Reims U19 | Stade Reims | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Stade Reims U17 | Stade Reims U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Creil Youth | Stade Reims U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Beauvais Jgd. | Creil Youth | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.