Olti Hyseni
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Olti Hyseni's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-6.6M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-8.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.26x the positional average in the league (955 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 3.2th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 19 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €2.7M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +68% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 35% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 955 (48% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.38
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.51
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1242
- Opponent strength
- 1285
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 35%
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.7M – €8.7M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +131% (IQR +0% to +434%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠Limited sample: 955 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 20 (ATT)
- Relative output kept
- 78%–121%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | LW | 21 | 955 | 48% | 2 | 2 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 1285 | 1242 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Sönderjyske Fodbold | Superliga | LW | 10 | 329 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 1342 | 1062 | 0.38 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 2 | 107 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Sönderjyske Fodbold | 3 | 142 | 1 | 2 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Nygren Eredivisie · 2021 | 20 | €2.0M | €700k | fell |
| Patrik Wålemark Eredivisie · 2024 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Oliver Antman Superliga · 2022 | 21 | €1.0M | €1.0M | flat |
| Danylo Sikan Premier Liga · 2021 | 20 | €1.5M | €4.0M | rose |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Premier Liga · 2020 | 19 | €2.3M | €15.0M | rose |
| Yankuba Minteh Superliga · 2023 | 19 | €2.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Jakob Breum Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €1.0M | €5.0M | rose |
| Oussama Idrissi Eredivisie · 2017 | 21 | €2.5M | €5.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2023 | SJF Youth | Sönderjyske | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.