Karl Etta Eyong
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Karl Etta Eyong's performance-implied value at EUR 2.8M-12.7M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 11.7M-25.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 7.9M-25.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.13x the positional average in the league (1668 minutes, league coefficient 0.95). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 25
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 52th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 22.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €17.8M vs market €15.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -3% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | breakout probability 16% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.95 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 900 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1668 (49% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.59
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 52 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.95 (rank 2)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1439
- Opponent strength
- 1497
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 16%
- Resale range (24m)
- €7.9M – €25.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +34% (IQR -24% to +137%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1668 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Levante UD | Laliga | ST | 30 | 1411 | 41% | 6 | 2 | 0.51 | 0.61 | 1497 | 1420 | 0.95 |
| 2025/26 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 3 | 257 | 8% | 1 | 2 | 1.05 | 0.38 | 1374 | 1544 | 0.95 |
| 2024/25 | Villarreal CF | Laliga | ST | 4 | 33 | 1% | 1 | 0 | 2.73 | 0.44 | 1441 | 1597 | 0.95 |
| 2023/24 | Cádiz CF | Laliga | ST | 1 | 20 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 1357 | 1377 | 1.00 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Africa Cup Of Nations | Cameroon | 4 | 115 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Copa Del Rey | Levante UD | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Datro Fofana Premier League · 2024 | 22 | €12.0M | €4.0M | fell |
| Abde Ezzalzouli Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €15.0M | €12.0M | fell |
| Omar Marmoush Bundesliga · 2022 | 23 | €6.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Giacomo Raspadori Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Georginio Rutter Bundesliga · 2022 | 20 | €16.0M | €18.0M | flat |
| Jonathan Burkardt Bundesliga · 2024 | 24 | €12.0M | €30.0M | rose |
| Hugo Duro Laliga · 2022 | 23 | €10.0M | €16.0M | rose |
| Davie Selke Bundesliga · 2018 | 23 | €12.0M | €8.0M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Villarreal | Levante | €3.0M | €5.0M |
| 1 Jul 2025 | Villarreal CF B | Villarreal | Unknown | €5.0M |
| 29 Aug 2024 | Cádiz B | Villarreal CF B | €1.5M | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Fund. Cádiz | Cádiz B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Feb 2022 | Cádiz U19 | Fund. Cádiz | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jan 2022 | Unknown | Cádiz U19 | €50k | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.