Jorthy Mokio
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Jorthy Mokio's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-15.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 5.7M-11.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.2M-21.1M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.96x the positional average in the league (1323 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 89
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 35.7th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 18.3 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €8.0M vs market €8.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +59% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 27% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.43 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1323 (43% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.27
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.12
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.43 (rank 15)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1405
- Opponent strength
- 1297
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 27%
- Resale range (24m)
- €6.2M – €21.1M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 27 pts; team strength down (-99 Elo); relative output up 81% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +14% (IQR -11% to +77%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1323 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 53 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 76%–148%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 68%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 26 | 1323 | 43% | 2 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.12 | 1297 | 1405 | 0.43 |
| 2024/25 | Ajax Amsterdam | Eredivisie | DM | 11 | 505 | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 1234 | 1505 | 0.50 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Champions League | Ajax Amsterdam | 7 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 1591 |
| 2025/26 | Knvb Beker | Ajax Amsterdam | 2 | 106 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League | Ajax Amsterdam | 6 | 331 | 1 | 0 | 1548 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1386 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Tahirović Eredivisie · 2024 | 21 | €5.0M | €4.5M | flat |
| Can Bozdogan Super Lig · 2022 | 21 | €4.3M | €4.5M | flat |
| Aster Vranckx Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 19 | €6.8M | €8.5M | rose |
| Eljif Elmas Super Lig · 2019 | 20 | €10.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj Jupiler Pro League · 2021 | 19 | €6.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Giannis Konstantelias Super League 1 · 2023 | 20 | €6.0M | €17.0M | rose |
| Cihan Çanak Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 18 | €4.0M | €3.5M | flat |
| Emirhan İlkhan Super Lig · 2024 | 20 | €3.0M | €6.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Sept 2025 | Ajax U21 | Ajax | Unknown | €8.0M |
| 1 Jul 2024 | KAA Gent | Ajax U21 | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 29 Feb 2024 | KAA Gent U18 | KAA Gent | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | KAA Gent Youth | KAA Gent U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.