Volodymyr Vilivald
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Volodymyr Vilivald's performance-implied value at EUR 0.5M-2.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.1M-2.5M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.9M-3.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 59
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 21.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Unfavorable | est. €1.7M vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | High | +20% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | High | breakout probability 31% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2544 (94% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.07
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1219
- Opponent strength
- 1157
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- High
- Trajectory
- stable
- Breakout probability
- 31%
- Resale range (24m)
- €895k – €3.9M
Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 52 pts; changed club; team strength up (+143 Elo); relative output down 70% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +27% (IQR -9% to +75%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | CB | 29 | 2544 | 94% | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 1157 | 1219 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Ingulets Petrove | Premier Liga | CB | 13 | 1048 | 39% | 2 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 1206 | 1063 | 0.28 |
| 2024/25 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | CB | 1 | 90 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1077 | 1237 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | Premier Liga | CB | 1 | 45 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1485 | 1294 | 0.34 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig | 2 | 106 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Ingulets Petrove | 1 | 120 | 1 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksiy Sych Premier Liga · 2024 | 23 | €1.0M | €700k | fell |
| Yevgen Pavlyuk Premier Liga · 2024 | 22 | €800k | €1.5M | rose |
| Nazariy Muravskyi Premier Liga · 2024 | 24 | €700k | €1.2M | rose |
| Will Fish Scottish Premiership · 2024 | 21 | €550k | €550k | flat |
| Alexander Bah Superliga · 2020 | 23 | €475k | €7.0M | rose |
| Bünyamin Balcı Super Lig · 2021 | 21 | €3.4M | €4.0M | flat |
| Zvonimir Sarlija Super Lig · 2021 | 25 | €875k | €1.2M | rose |
| Vitaliy Roman Premier Liga · 2024 | 21 | €800k | €500k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | Kryvbas U19 | Kryvbas | Unknown | €300k |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Ingulets | Kryvbas U19 | Free / loan | €300k |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Kryvbas U19 | Ingulets | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Sept 2021 | Inter Dnipro | Kryvbas U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.