Kader Meïté
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Kader Meïté's performance-implied value at EUR 1.2M-10.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.5M-34.9M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.0M-41.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.21x the positional average in the league (530 minutes, league coefficient 0.88). Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Average | 38.6th pct among ATT peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 18.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very unfavorable | est. €27.7M vs market €18.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 43% |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 901 evaluated ATT players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 530 (17% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.85
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.61
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1520
- Opponent strength
- 1470
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- 43%
- Resale range (24m)
- €10.0M – €41.7M
Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+69 Elo); relative output up 40% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +37% (IQR -25% to +167%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 530 league minutes last season.
- ▲Projection range among the widest 10% of evaluated players.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | ST | 17 | 530 | 17% | 3 | 2 | 0.85 | 0.61 | 1470 | 1520 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | Stade Rennais FC | Ligue 1 | ST | 12 | 537 | 18% | 2 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.46 | 1468 | 1450 | 0.88 |
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reiss Nelson Bundesliga · 2019 | 20 | €17.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Jadon Sancho Bundesliga · 2018 | 18 | €15.0M | €117M | rose |
| Luis Henrique Ligue 1 · 2021 | 20 | €8.0M | €6.0M | fell |
| Ademola Lookman Bundesliga · 2018 | 21 | €12.0M | €13.5M | flat |
| Javairô Dilrosun Bundesliga · 2019 | 21 | €12.0M | €9.0M | fell |
| Hugo Ekitiké Bundesliga · 2024 | 22 | €20.0M | €80.0M | rose |
| Giacomo Raspadori Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €15.0M | €35.0M | rose |
| Rafael Leão Ligue 1 · 2019 | 20 | €15.0M | €25.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Stade Rennais | Al-Hilal | €30.0M | €10.0M |
| 5 Nov 2024 | Rennes B | Stade Rennais | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Rennes U19 | Rennes B | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2023 | Rennes U17 | Rennes U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2022 | Montrouge Jgd | Rennes U17 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Villejuif Jgd | Montrouge Jgd | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.