Piotr Zielinski

32 yrs · Central midfielder (also AM) · Poland
Inter Milan · Serie A · Foot: both · Height: 180 cm
Risk: ModerateConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2028
10/100
CompareCheaper alternative
Market value
€10.0M
Updated today
Estimated acquisition
€4.0M – €10.2M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€11.4M – €29.0M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€3.0M – €5.5M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
€1.2M – €25.0M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€4.0M – €10.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.4M – €29.0M
Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €5.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Piotr Zielinski's performance-implied value at EUR 11.4M-29.0M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 4.0M-10.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 3.0M-5.5M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.92x the positional average in the league (2045 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 10

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite95.4th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeUnfavorable32.1 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €6.0M vs market €10.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-59% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapVery largeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskModerate
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €50.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2045 (60% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.40
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.20
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
95 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1722
Opponent strength
1498
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€3.0M – €5.5M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 31 pts; team strength down (-96 Elo); relative output up 35% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -47% (IQR -66% to -41%).

Risk profile

Overall: Moderate

  • ▲Age 32: resale value typically declines.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Inter MilanSerie ACM34204560%630.400.20149817220.93
2024/25Inter MilanSerie ACM2697128%220.370.15144818190.99
2023/24SSC NapoliSerie ACM28193857%320.230.15145915690.98
2022/23SSC NapoliSerie ACM37230167%390.470.23147117390.94
2021/22SSC NapoliSerie AAM35209961%650.470.33148516450.89
2020/21SSC NapoliSerie AAM36254875%8110.670.45145716430.90
2019/20SSC NapoliSerie ACM37292686%240.180.13143815880.82
2018/19SSC NapoliSerie ACM36288184%620.250.15143016360.78
2017/18SSC NapoliSerie ACM36166249%410.270.15144817040.86
2016/17SSC NapoliSerie ACM36185354%560.530.25144817360.88
2015/16FC EmpoliSerie ACM35303689%540.270.30147914250.95
2014/15FC EmpoliSerie ACM28104030%030.260.28149814130.93
2013/14Udinese CalcioSerie ACM101294%000.000.19149714190.88
2012/13Udinese CalcioSerie ACM93199%020.560.32139315490.88

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan10633101629
2025/26Italy CupInter Milan313701—
2025/26Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan186001583
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueInter Milan10586011683
2024/25Italy CupInter Milan218000—
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaInter Milan125001657
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli6471111595
2023/24Supercoppa ItalianaSSC Napoli118001579
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli10624421668
2022/23Italy CupSSC Napoli13500—
2021/22Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli7515201546
2020/21Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli6344211543
2020/21Italy CupSSC Napoli417401—
2020/21Supercoppa ItalianaSSC Napoli190001687
2019/20Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli7520011744
2019/20Italy CupSSC Napoli542901—
2018/19Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli6476101607
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli6181001662
2018/19Italy CupSSC Napoli19000—
2017/18Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli5352201631
2017/18Uefa Europa LeagueSSC Napoli2180101606
2017/18Italy CupSSC Napoli218000—
2017/18Uefa Champions League QualifyingSSC Napoli258001540
2016/17Uefa Champions LeagueSSC Napoli7305001692
2016/17Italy CupSSC Napoli429510—
2015/16Italy CupFC Empoli19000—
2014/15Italy CupFC Empoli215400—
2013/14Uefa Europa League QualifyingUdinese Calcio127001378

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Ivan Perišić
Serie A · 2021
32€10.0M€7.0Mfell
Thiago Motta
Ligue 1 · 2014
32€8.5M€3.0Mfell
Marcel Sabitzer
Bundesliga · 2024
30€20.0M€6.0Mfell
Marcos Alonso
Premier League · 2022
32€12.0M€2.0Mfell
Danilo Pereira
Ligue 1 · 2022
31€14.0M€8.0Mfell
Geoffrey Kondogbia
Laliga · 2022
29€20.0M€12.0Mfell
Davide Zappacosta
Serie A · 2024
32€6.0M€3.5Mfell
Ashley Young
Premier League · 2015
30€10.0M€5.0Mfell

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2024NapoliInterFree / loan€22.0M
4 Aug 2016UdineseNapoli€16.0M€12.0M
30 Jun 2016FC EmpoliUdineseFree / loan€12.0M
31 Aug 2014UdineseFC EmpoliFree / loan€2.5M
1 Jul 2012Udinese U19UdineseUnknown€100k
1 Jul 2011Lubin IIUdinese U19€100k€50k
1 Jul 2010Lubin U19Lubin IIUnknownData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.