Kasper Dolberg

The model rates Kasper Dolberg's performance-implied value at EUR 2.1M-9.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 2.4M-8.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.7M-5.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.70x the positional average in the league (1216 minutes, league coefficient 0.43). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1216 (40% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.52

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.36

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

56 (Above average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.43 (rank 6)

Team strength (Elo)

1404

Opponent strength

1329

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.7M – €5.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 23 pts; changed club; team strength down (-72 Elo); league level down (-81 Elo); relative output down 22% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -45% (IQR -65% to -29%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1216 league minutes last season.
• ⚠League level coefficient 0.43 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

82 (ATT)

Relative output kept

73%–122%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

61%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.