Weston McKennie

28 yrs · Central midfielder (also RM) · United States
Juventus FC · Serie A · Foot: right · Height: 180 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: LowContract: until 30 Jun 2030
Market value
€30.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€22.2M – €31.1M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€18.9M – €38.6M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€12.9M – €27.7M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€12.2M – €16.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€22.2M – €31.1M
Model value (performance-implied)€18.9M – €38.6M
Projected value (24 months)€12.9M – €27.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Weston McKennie's performance-implied value at EUR 18.9M-38.6M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 22.2M-31.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 12.9M-27.7M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.30x the positional average in the league (2841 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index: 12

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceElite90.8th pct among MID peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral27.8 years
Acquisition costFavorableest. €25.8M vs market €30.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-40% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapNegativeweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentLow
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 0.93
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €30.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
2841 (83% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.35
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.28
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
91 (Elite)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
0.93 (rank 4)
Team strength (Elo)
1614
Opponent strength
1497
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Low
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€12.9M – €27.7M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 15 pts; role change CM -> RM; relative output up 55% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -43% to -24%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Juventus FCSerie ARM36284183%560.350.29149716140.93
2024/25Juventus FCSerie ACM32231768%240.230.18151416290.99
2023/24Juventus FCSerie ACM34260276%070.240.17147516210.98
2022/23Leeds UnitedPremier LeagueCM19144142%010.060.14157014181.23
2022/23Juventus FCSerie ACM15105731%110.170.14143816140.94
2021/22Juventus FCSerie ACM21137040%300.200.12151116230.89
2020/21Juventus FCSerie ACM34170050%520.370.18144416980.90
2019/20FC Schalke 04BundesligaCM28207768%300.130.15152314151.06
2018/19FC Schalke 04BundesligaCM24174657%140.260.20155214821.05
2017/18FC Schalke 04BundesligaCM22119739%000.000.08149516181.04
2016/17FC Schalke 04BundesligaCM1130%000.000.14141215561.06

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC10900411582
2025/26World CupUnited States326601—
2025/26Italy CupJuventus FC218001—
2024/25Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC9555301639
2024/25Italy CupJuventus FC218000—
2024/25Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC186001641
2023/24Italy CupJuventus FC435003—
2022/23Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC5360201633
2022/23Italy CupJuventus FC19001—
2022/23Fa CupLeeds United19000—
2021/22Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC6386001651
2021/22Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC1120101771
2021/22Italy CupJuventus FC19000—
2020/21Uefa Champions LeagueJuventus FC7402101601
2020/21Italy CupJuventus FC420901—
2020/21Supercoppa ItalianaJuventus FC190001608
2019/20Dfb PokalFC Schalke 04425401—
2018/19Uefa Champions LeagueFC Schalke 046374111680
2018/19Dfb PokalFC Schalke 04320901—
2017/18Dfb PokalFC Schalke 0439800—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Adrien Rabiot
Serie A · 2023
28€40.0M€25.0Mfell
Roman Eremenko
Premier Liga · 2015
28€20.0M€15.0Mfell
Andrej Kramaric
Bundesliga · 2019
28€38.0M€28.0Mfell
Aleix García
Laliga · 2024
27€25.0M€20.0Mfell
Robin Gosens
Serie A · 2021
27€35.0M€15.0Mfell
Mikel Merino
Laliga · 2024
28€50.0M€25.0Mfell
Aleksandr Golovin
Ligue 1 · 2024
28€30.0M€18.0Mfell
Benjamin Bourigeaud
Ligue 1 · 2022
28€18.0M€18.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
30 Jun 2023LeedsJuventusFree / loan€18.0M
30 Jan 2023JuventusLeedsFree / loan€21.0M
1 Jul 2021FC Schalke 04Juventus€21.9M€25.0M
30 Jun 2021JuventusFC Schalke 04Free / loan€25.0M
1 Sept 2020FC Schalke 04JuventusFree / loan€20.0M
1 Jul 2017Schalke 04 U19FC Schalke 04Unknown€100k
28 Aug 2016Dallas AcademySchalke 04 U19Free / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2007Otterbach Jgd.Dallas AcademyFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.