Diogo Costa

The model rates Diogo Costa's performance-implied value at EUR 4.6M-16.8M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 28.4M-46.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 20.4M-39.9M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

2907 (95% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.00

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.00

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

86 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.58 (rank 9)

Team strength (Elo)

1594

Opponent strength

1323

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€20.4M – €39.9M

Trajectory drivers: team strength up (+86 Elo).

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -13% (IQR -45% to +11%).

• ⚠League level coefficient 0.58 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

182 (all positions)

Relative output kept

70%–147%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

73%

Confidence

Medium

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.