Transfer Finder
“Find me a cheaper version of this player.” Nearest statistical profiles in the same position group with a lower estimated acquisition cost.
Target: Diogo Costa · 26 · Goalkeeper · FC Porto · est. acquisition €28.4M – €46.1M
Similarity uses age, context-adjusted output, minutes share, performance percentile, league and team strength. Style/role similarity needs event data that the current free source lacks.
| Player | Similarity | Age | Pos | Market value | Est. acquisition | Model value | BI | Risk | Strengths | Differences |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anatoliy Trubin SL Benfica · Liga Portugal | 61% | 24 | GK | €25.0M | €17.8M – €30.3M | €6.9M – €32.0M | 59/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 13% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (94% of league minutes) | very similar |
| Matej Kovar PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | 58% | 26 | GK | €8.0M | €4.5M – €11.9M | €3.1M – €12.7M | 73/100 | Risk: Moderate | Undisputed starter (91% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | very similar |
| Denis Adamov AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga | 54% | 28 | GK | €3.5M | €1.2M – €3.4M | €1.9M – €8.3M | 99/100 | Risk: High | Team conceded 0.34 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (87% of league minutes) | very similar |
| Stanislav Agkatsev FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga | 52% | 24 | GK | €12.0M | €8.3M – €17.3M | €3.9M – €17.0M | 56/100 | Risk: High | Performance-implied value in the top 25% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.21 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs younger |
| Lukas Hornicek SC Braga · Liga Portugal | 47% | 23 | GK | €18.0M | €13.8M – €26.2M | €2.4M – €11.9M | 50/100 | Risk: Low | Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes); Improving trajectory | 3 yrs younger |
| Aleksandr Maksimenko FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | 46% | 28 | GK | €4.0M | €1.2M – €3.6M | €2.0M – €8.5M | 91/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes); Estimated acquisition well below performance-implied value | very similar |
| Konstantinos Tzolakis Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 | 45% | 23 | GK | €18.0M | €8.2M – €21.3M | €2.4M – €20.2M | 99/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 21% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.36 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 3 yrs younger; weaker league (0.42) |
| Kjell Scherpen Union Saint-Gilloise · Jupiler Pro League | 44% | 26 | GK | €8.0M | €4.6M – €11.1M | €1.8M – €8.8M | 33/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.50 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; 720 minutes in continental competition | 72% of minutes |
| Elías Ólafsson FC Midtjylland · Superliga | 44% | 26 | GK | €3.0M | €1.4M – €4.9M | €1.2M – €6.8M | 89/100 | Risk: High | Undisputed starter (82% of league minutes); 1292 minutes in continental competition | very similar |
| Marco Carnesecchi Atalanta BC · Serie A | 43% | 26 | GK | €30.0M | €22.2M – €37.9M | €12.2M – €41.1M | 54/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 6% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (97% of league minutes) | stronger league (0.93) |
| Gregor Kobel Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 40% | 28 | GK | €40.0M | €25.6M – €45.3M | €15.0M – €42.9M | 5/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 3% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | stronger league (0.94) |
| Noah Atubolu SC Freiburg · Bundesliga | 39% | 24 | GK | €25.0M | €11.6M – €26.4M | €10.1M – €29.1M | 89/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 15% of GK peers; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | 3 yrs younger; stronger league (0.94) |
| Thomas Strakosha Athlitiki Enosi Konstantinoupoleos · Super League 1 | 38% | 31 | GK | €3.0M | €824k – €3.8M | €1.5M – €7.4M | 39/100 | Risk: Moderate | Performance-implied value in the top 20% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 5 yrs older; weaker league (0.42) |
| Lazar Carević FC Famalicão · Liga Portugal | 38% | 27 | GK | €5.0M | €2.5M – €6.6M | €869k – €4.5M | 54/100 | Risk: Moderate | Team conceded 0.46 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch; Undisputed starter (100% of league minutes) | very similar |
| Michele Di Gregorio Juventus FC · Serie A | 38% | 28 | GK | €10.0M | €4.9M – €12.3M | €9.0M – €22.0M | 36/100 | Risk: Low | Performance-implied value in the top 8% of GK peers; Team conceded 0.23 fewer goals per match than Elo expected with the player on the pitch | 2 yrs older; stronger league (0.93); 78% of minutes |