Callum McCowatt
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Callum McCowatt's performance-implied value at EUR 0.4M-1.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.0M-2.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.3M-3.4M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.09x the positional average in the league (1683 minutes, league coefficient 0.47). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Around 18 months left: some discount usually possible.
Bargain Index: 91
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Below average | 23.9th pct among MID peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.2 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €1.2M vs market €2.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -17% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1163 evaluated MID players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1683 (85% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.54
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.44
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 24 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1273
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.3M – €3.4M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -44% to +47%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1683 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 23 (MID)
- Relative output kept
- 68%–122%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 65%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | AM | 22 | 1683 | 85% | 8 | 2 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 1273 | 1213 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | AM | 12 | 433 | 22% | 2 | 0 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 1268 | 1264 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Silkeborg IF | Superliga | LW | 22 | 942 | 48% | 3 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 1319 | 1238 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | Silkeborg IF | 4 | 353 | 1 | 0 | 1375 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | New Zealand | 3 | 160 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 6 | 432 | 2 | 1 | — |
| 2023/24 | Oddset Pokalen | Silkeborg IF | 8 | 299 | 3 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haris Hajradinovic Super Lig · 2020 | 26 | €2.4M | €3.3M | rose |
| Mustafa Eskihellaç Super Lig · 2024 | 27 | €1.4M | €4.0M | rose |
| Fousseni Diabaté Super Lig · 2022 | 27 | €2.7M | €1.0M | fell |
| Siebe Schrijvers Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 26 | €2.0M | €2.0M | flat |
| Artem Makarchuk Premier Liga · 2023 | 28 | €2.5M | €1.2M | fell |
| Kolbeinn Finnsson Superliga · 2024 | 25 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
| Fernando Costanza Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €3.5M | €2.5M | fell |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Jupiler Pro League · 2023 | 27 | €1.0M | €1.8M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2023 | FC Helsingør | Silkeborg IF | €269k | €400k |
| 6 Sept 2020 | Wellington | FC Helsingør | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Eastern Suburbs | Wellington | Free / loan | €400k |
| 1 Nov 2018 | Western Suburbs | Eastern Suburbs | Free / loan | €350k |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Auckland City | Western Suburbs | Free / loan | €350k |
| 22 Sept 2017 | Wellington Yth. | Auckland City | Free / loan | €25k |
| 1 Sept 2016 | Western Suburbs | Wellington Yth. | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.