Quilindschy Hartman

24 yrs · Left-back · Netherlands
Burnley FC · Premier League · Foot: left · Height: 183 cm
Risk: LowConfidence: MediumSample: HighDevelopment: ModerateContract: until 30 Jun 2027
Market value
€16.0M
Updated 6 days ago
Estimated acquisition
€7.0M – €17.3M
Estimated · 20–80% range
Model value
€5.6M – €16.3M
Performance-implied · estimated
Projected (24m)
€6.9M – €18.6M
Resale range · estimated
Potential value gap
-€11.7M – €9.4M
Model value − acquisition

Value picture

Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.

Estimated acquisition€7.0M – €17.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.3M
Projected value (24 months)€6.9M – €18.6M
Dashed line: current market value (€16.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

The model rates Quilindschy Hartman's performance-implied value at EUR 5.6M-16.3M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.0M-17.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 6.9M-18.6M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.

Bargain Index: 75

What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.

PerformanceHigh79.9th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral)
AgeNeutral24.6 years
Acquisition costVery favorableest. €9.3M vs market €16.0M
Expected appreciationVery low-26% over ~2 years (model)
Value gapSmallweak predictor on its own
DevelopmentModerate
League translationBig-five leagueleague coefficient 1.3
Tactical fitNot evaluatedRequires event/role data not available from the current free source.
RiskLow
Data confidenceMedium

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Market value history

Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.

Highest recorded: €23.0M

Profile vs positional peers

Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.

Performance (last season, league)

Minutes
1830 (54% of available)
Goals + assists / 90
0.25
Context-adjusted G+A / 90
0.40
xG, xA, progression
Data unavailable
Defensive actions
Data unavailable
Performance percentile
80 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

Context

League strength
1.30 (rank 1)
Team strength (Elo)
1343
Opponent strength
1610
Possession, role
Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Potential

Development
Moderate
Trajectory
improving
Breakout probability
Age > 23
Resale range (24m)
€6.9M – €18.6M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 32 pts; changed club; team strength down (-223 Elo); league level up (+297 Elo); relative output up 452% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -15% (IQR -60% to +29%).

Risk profile

Overall: Low

  • ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
  • ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

League translation

What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.

Season-by-season (domestic league)

Context-adjusted values are model outputs.

SeasonClubLeaguePosAppsMinMin shareGAG+A/90Adj. G+A/90Opp. EloTeam EloLeague str.
2025/26Burnley FCPremier LeagueLB21183054%050.250.40161013431.30
2024/25Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieLB1264421%010.140.07126515650.50
2023/24Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieLB26208068%050.220.11135915930.48
2022/23Feyenoord RotterdamEredivisieLB23167455%240.320.13129816390.58

Cups & continental competitions

SeasonCompetitionClubAppsMinGAAvg opp. Elo
2025/26Fa CupBurnley FC218000—
2023/24Uefa Champions LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam6540001611
2023/24Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam327001—
2023/24Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam2210011583
2023/24Johan Cruijff SchaalFeyenoord Rotterdam172001649
2022/23Uefa Europa LeagueFeyenoord Rotterdam6455001568
2022/23Knvb BekerFeyenoord Rotterdam439000—

Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.

Historical comparables

Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.

Player (then)AgeValue then~2y laterOutcome
Romain Perraud
Premier League · 2023
26€12.0M€5.0Mfell
Mauricio Lemos
Laliga · 2017
22€10.0M€3.5Mfell
Matt Targett
Premier League · 2020
25€10.5M€17.0Mrose
Lyanco
Premier League · 2023
26€3.5M€6.0Mrose
Jetro Willems
Premier League · 2020
26€5.5M€1.0Mfell
Kristoffer Ajer
Premier League · 2024
26€15.0M€18.0Mrose
Guillermo Maripán
Laliga · 2019
25€15.0M€12.0Mfell
Jordan Torunarigha
Bundesliga · 2019
22€10.0M€9.0Mflat

Transfer history

Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.

DateFromToFeeMV at time
1 Jul 2025FeyenoordBurnley€10.0M€14.0M
1 Sept 2022Feyenoord U21FeyenoordUnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2020Feyenoord U19Feyenoord U21UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2018Feyenoord U17Feyenoord U19UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2017Feyenoord YouthFeyenoord U17UnknownData unavailable
1 Jul 2010Excelsior JeugdFeyenoord YouthFree / loanData unavailable
1 Jul 2009VVGZ JeugdExcelsior JeugdFree / loanData unavailable

MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.