Luca Jaquez
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Luca Jaquez's performance-implied value at EUR 2.2M-6.9M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 7.2M-16.0M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 5.4M-19.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 53
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 50.8th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.1 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €10.7M vs market €10.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | +10% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Moderate | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.94 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 900 (29% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.10
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.06
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 51 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.94 (rank 3)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1567
- Opponent strength
- 1482
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Moderate
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €5.4M – €19.0M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +69% (IQR -19% to +202%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 900 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 14 | 900 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 1482 | 1567 | 0.94 |
| 2024/25 | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | CB | 5 | 252 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1461 | 1531 | 0.94 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 457 | 0 | 0 | 1468 |
| 2025/26 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 112 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2025/26 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1760 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Switzerland | 2 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Dfb Pokal | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Dalot Serie A · 2021 | 22 | €10.0M | €40.0M | rose |
| Jon Pacheco Laliga · 2023 | 22 | €6.0M | €6.0M | flat |
| Kyle Walker-Peters Premier League · 2020 | 23 | €8.0M | €22.0M | rose |
| Davide Santon Serie A · 2016 | 25 | €7.0M | €3.0M | fell |
| Djed Spence Ligue 1 · 2023 | 23 | €10.0M | €20.0M | rose |
| Tanguy Nianzou Laliga · 2023 | 21 | €7.5M | €1.5M | fell |
| Abner Laliga · 2024 | 24 | €7.0M | €10.0M | rose |
| Pierre Kalulu Serie A · 2021 | 21 | €7.0M | €30.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | FC Luzern | Stuttgart | €6.5M | €4.5M |
| 27 Jan 2022 | Luzern U21 | FC Luzern | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2021 | Luzern U18 | Luzern U21 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2020 | Luzern U17 | Luzern U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Luzern U16 | Luzern U17 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Luzern Yth. | Luzern U16 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.